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Biden Gets Little Economic Credit

National

Continued low grades for most congressional leaders

West Long Branch, NJ – President Joe Biden gets mediocre to poor marks on key aspects of the economy despite him recently touting what he calls “Bidenomics.” Only 3 in 10 Americans feel the country is doing a better job recovering economically than the rest of the world since the pandemic. The latest Monmouth (“Mon-muth”) University Poll also finds Congress and nearly all of its leadership continue to earn negative ratings.

Biden earns a split decision on his handling of jobs and unemployment (47% approve and 48% disapprove). He gets a net negative rating for his handling of transportation and energy infrastructure (43% approve and 51% disapprove) and an even worse rating for his handling of inflation (34% approve and 62% disapprove). More than 7 in 10 Democrats give the president positive marks on these policy areas and more than 8 in 10 Republicans rate him negatively. Approval among independents stands at 41% for jobs and unemployment, 37% for transportation and energy infrastructure, and just 26% for inflation. These results are similar to Biden’s ratings for these three policy areas in a Monmouth poll taken last September.

BIDENOMICS PERFORMANCE
How Biden has handled…	Approve - Disapprove
Jobs & unemployment, 47%, 48%.
Transportation & energy infrastructure, 43%,	51%.
Inflation, 34%, 62%.

“The president has been touting ‘Bidenomics,’ but the needle of public opinion has not really moved. Americans are just not giving him a lot of credit when it comes to the economy,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.

Some indicators suggest the U.S. economy has been recovering better than other countries from the worldwide instability and rising prices brought on by the Covid pandemic. However, just 30% of the American public believes that. In fact, 32% say the U.S. economy’s recovery from this situation is worse than other countries and another 33% say the U.S. recovery is about the same as the rest of the world.

The Monmouth University Poll finds Biden’s overall job performance rating currently stands at 44% approve and 52% disapprove. His approval number is three points higher than it has been over the past few months, but his overall rating is statistically in line with where it has been since last autumn. Just 25% of the public says the country is going in the right direction, while 68% say it is on the wrong track.

President Biden Job Rating Flow Chart from January 2021 to July 2023. Refer to  question 1 for approval and disapproval numbers.

In other poll findings, Vice President Kamala Harris receives a job rating of 40% approve and 52% disapprove. These numbers have not moved much since Monmouth started polling the vice president’s job performance earlier this year. Opinion of the job the U.S. Congress is doing stands at 22% approve and 68% disapprove, which is basically in line with poll findings since last autumn.

The poll also asked about the performance of congressional leadership. Only House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries receives a net positive score from the American public (24% approve and 18% disapprove), but only 4 in 10 know enough about him to register an opinion. The other three top leaders are rated by 6 in 10 Americans, with Jeffries’ fellow Democrat in the Senate, Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (25% approve and 37% disapprove), and his Republican counterpart in the House, Speaker Kevin McCarthy (23% approve and 39% disapprove), earning similar, albeit negative, ratings. McCarthy has become better known since taking the Speaker’s gavel in January, but his net rating is basically unchanged because both his approve and disapprove numbers have increased. The public’s lowest leader ratings are reserved for Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (12% approve and 50% disapprove). As a whole, Democrats tend to be more positive about their party’s leadership than Republicans are about their own congressional leaders.

CONGRESS LEADER RATINGS
Approve–Disapprove

Chuck Schumer (D)	 
All Americans, –12, 25%-37%.
Fellow partisans, + 40, 49%-9%
Mitch McConnell (R)	
All Americans, – 38, 12%-50%	.
Fellow partisans, – 13, 22%-35%
Hakeem Jeffries (D)	
All Americans,+ 6, 24%-18%.
Fellow partisans, + 46, 48%-2%.
Kevin McCarthy (R)	
All Americans,– 16, 23%-39%.
Fellow partisans, + 26, 44%-18%.

The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from July 12 to 17, 2023 with 910 adults in the United States.  The question results in this release have a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percentage points for the full sample. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.

QUESTIONS AND RESULTS     

(* Some columns may not add to 100% due to rounding.)

1.Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as president?

Trend:July
2023
May
2023
March
2023
Jan.
2023
Dec.
2022
Oct.
2022
Sept.
2022
Aug.
2022
June
2022
May
2022
March
2022
Jan.
2022
Approve44%41%41%43%42%40%38%38%36%38%39%39%
Disapprove52%53%51%48%50%53%54%56%58%57%54%54%
(VOL) No opinion4%6%8%9%8%7%8%7%6%5%7%7%
 (n)(910)(981)(805)(805)(805)(808)(806)(808)(978)(807)(809)(794)
  Trend:
Continued
Dec.
2021
Nov.
2021
Sept.
2021
July
2021
June
2021
April
2021
March
2021
Jan.
2021
Approve40%42%46%48%48%54%51%54%
Disapprove50%50%46%44%43%41%42%30%
(VOL) No opinion11%9%8%8%9%5%8%16%
 (n)(808)(811)(802)(804)(810)(800)(802)(809)

2.Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kamala Harris is doing as vice president?

Trend:July
2023
May
2023
March
2023
Approve40%37%36%
Disapprove52%52%53%
(VOL) No opinion7%11%12%
(n)(910)(981)(805)

3.Do you approve or disapprove of the job the U.S. Congress is doing?

Trend:July
2023
May
2023
March
2023
Jan.
2023
Approve22%18%23%19%
Disapprove68%72%68%67%
(VOL) No opinion10%9%10%14%
 (n)(910)(981)(805)(805)
Trend: 
Continued
Dec.
2022
Oct.
2022
Sept.
2022
Aug.
2022
June
2022
May
2022
March
2022
Jan.
2022
Dec.
2021
Nov.
2021
Sept.
2021
July
2021
June
2021
April
2021
March
2021
Jan.
2021
Approve26%23%23%17%15%15%21%19%23%18%22%23%21%35%30%35%
Disapprove62%69%66%74%78%77%71%74%66%70%65%62%65%56%59%51%
(VOL) No opinion12%8%11%9%7%8%8%6%11%12%13%15%15%9%11%14%
 (n)(805)(808)(806)(808)(978)(807)(809)(794)(808)(811)(802)(804)(810)(800)(802)(809)
  Trend:
Continued
Nov.
2020
Early June
2020
May
2020
April
2020
Feb.
2020
Jan.
2020
Dec.
2019
Nov.
2019
Sept.
2019
Aug.
2019
June
2019
May
2019
April
2019
March
2019
Jan.
2019
Approve23%22%32%32%20%24%22%23%21%17%19%20%24%23%18%
Disapprove64%69%55%55%69%62%65%64%68%71%69%71%62%68%72%
(VOL) No opinion13%9%13%13%11%14%13%13%11%13%12%9%14%9%10%
 (n)(810)(807)(808)(857)(902)(903)(903)(908)(1,161)(800)(751)(802)(801)(802)(805)
Trend:
Continued
Nov.
2018
Aug.
2018
June
2018
April
2018
March
2018
Jan.
2018
Dec.
2017
Sept.
2017
Aug.
2017
July
2017
May
2017
March
2017
Jan.
2017
Approve23%17%19%17%18%21%16%17%18%19%19%25%23%
Disapprove63%69%67%71%72%68%65%69%69%70%68%59%66%
(VOL) No opinion14%14%14%12%11%11%19%15%13%11%13%16%11%
 (n)(802)(805)(806)(803)(803)(806)(806)(1,009)(805)(800)(1,002)(801)(801)
Trend:
 Continued
Sept.
2016*
Aug.
2016*
June
2016*
March
2016
Jan.
2016
Dec.
2015
Oct.
2015
Sept.
2015
Aug.
2015
July
2015
June
2015
April
2015
Jan.
2015
Dec.
2014
July
2013
Approve15%14%17%22%17%16%17%19%18%18%19%21%18%17%14%
Disapprove77%78%76%68%73%73%71%71%72%69%71%67%70%73%76%
(VOL) No opinion8%9%7%10%10%10%12%11%11%12%10%12%11%11%10%
 (n)(802)(803)(803)(1,008)(1,003)(1,006)(1,012)(1,009)(1,203)(1,001)(1,002)(1,005)(1,003)(1,008)(1,012)

       * Registered voters

[QUESTIONS 4 – 7 WERE ROTATED]

4.Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chuck Schumer is doing as Senate Majority Leader, or do you have no opinion of him?

 Trend:July
2023
Jan.
2023
Dec.
2022
Nov.
2021
April
2018*
July
2017*
Approve25%24%19%21%16%17%
Disapprove37%37%37%37%29%28%
No opinion38%39%44%43%55%55%
(n)(910)(805)(805)(811)(803)(800)

*Question wording was: “as Senate Minority Leader?”

5.Do you approve or disapprove of the job Hakeem Jeffries is doing as House Minority Leader, or do you have no opinion of him?

 Trend:July
2023
Jan.
2023
Approve24%18%
Disapprove18%16%
No opinion59%66%
(n)(910)(805)

6.Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mitch McConnell is doing as Senate Minority Leader, or do you have no opinion of him?

 Trend:July
2023
Jan.
2023
Dec.
2022
Jan.
2020*
Nov.
2019*
Jan.
2019*
Nov.
2018*
April
2018*
July
2017*
Approve12%12%12%21%15%15%15%10%12%
Disapprove50%52%56%39%39%40%28%38%38%
No opinion37%36%32%40%46%45%57%52%49%
(n)(910)(805)(805)(903)(908)(805)(802)(803)(800)

*Question wording was: “as Senate Majority Leader?”

7.Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kevin McCarthy is doing as Speaker of the House, or do you have no opinion of him?

 Trend:July
2023
Jan.
2023
Dec.
2022*
Approve23%19%12%
Disapprove39%35%34%
No opinion37%46%54%
(n)(910)(805)(805)

*Question wording was: “as House Minority Leader?”

8.Would you say things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they gotten off on the wrong track?

  Trend:July
2023
May
2023
March
2023
Jan.
2023
Right direction25%16%22%24%
Wrong track68%74%72%73%
(VOL) Depends5%6%3%1%
(VOL) Don’t know3%4%3%2%
(n)(910)(981)(805)(805)
Trend:
 Continued
Dec.
2022
Sept.
2022
Aug.
2022
June
2022
May
2022
March
2022
Jan.
2022
Dec.
2021
Nov.
2021
Sept.
2021
July
2021
June
2021
April
2021
March
2021
Jan.
2021
Right direction28%23%15%10%18%24%24%30%31%29%38%37%46%34%42%
Wrong track68%74%82%88%79%73%71%66%64%65%56%57%50%61%51%
(VOL) Depends2%2%1%1%2%1%3%1%2%4%3%3%2%4%3%
(VOL) Don’t know3%2%2%1%2%2%2%3%3%2%4%3%2%2%4%
(n)(805)(806)(808)(978)(807)(809)(794)(808)(811)(802)(804)(810)(800)(802)(809)
Trend:
Continued
Nov.
2020
Early Sept.
2020
Aug.
2020
Late June
2020
Early June
2020
May
2020
April
2020
March
2020
Feb.
2020
Jan.
2020
Right direction26%27%22%18%21%33%30%39%37%37%
Wrong track68%66%72%74%74%60%61%54%57%56%
(VOL) Depends4%4%4%5%4%4%5%4%6%6%
(VOL) Don’t know2%3%2%3%1%3%5%3%1%1%
(n)(810)(867)(868)(867)(807)(808)(857)(851)(902)(903)
Trend:
Continued
Dec.
2019
Nov.
2019
Sept.
2019
Aug.
2019
June
2019
May
2019
April
2019
March
2019
Nov.
2018
Aug.
2018
June
2018
April
2018
March
2018
Jan.
2018
Right direction32%30%30%28%31%29%28%29%35%35%40%33%31%37%
Wrong track56%61%61%62%62%63%62%63%55%57%53%58%61%57%
(VOL) Depends8%7%6%8%6%4%7%6%7%6%3%5%6%3%
(VOL) Don’t know4%2%2%2%2%3%3%2%3%3%3%4%1%3%
(n)(903)(908)(1,161)(800)(751)(802)(801)(802)(802)(805)(806)(803)(803)(806)
  Trend:
Continued
Dec.
2017
Aug.
2017
May
2017
March
2017
Jan.
2017
Aug.
2016*
Oct.
2015
July
2015
June
2015
April
2015
Dec.
2014
July
2013
Right direction24%32%31%35%29%30%24%28%23%27%23%28%
Wrong track66%58%61%56%65%65%66%63%68%66%69%63%
(VOL) Depends7%4%5%4%4%2%6%5%5%5%5%5%
(VOL) Don’t know3%5%3%5%2%3%4%3%3%2%3%4%
(n)(806)(805)(1,002)(801)(801)(803)(1,012)(1,001)(1,002)(1,005)(1,008)(1,012)

       * Registered voters

9.Do you approve or disapprove of how Joe Biden has handled the following policy areas?  [ITEMS WERE ROTATED]

    Trend:    
Approve

Disapprove
(VOL) Don’t
know

(n)
Jobs and unemployment47%48%5%(910)
   — Sept. 202243%52%5%(806)
Transportation and energy infrastructure43%51%5%(910)
   — Sept. 202243%49%8%(806)
Inflation34%62%4%(910)
   — Sept. 202230%66%4%(806)

10.The Covid pandemic led to economic instability and rising prices around the world. Do you think the United States economy is recovering better, worse, or about the same as other countries from this situation?

Response:July
2023
Better30%
Worse32%
About the same33%
(VOL) Don’t know5%
(n)(910)

[Q11-34 held for future release.]

Methodology

The Monmouth University Poll was sponsored and conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute from July 12 to 17, 2023 with a probability-based national random sample of 910 adults age 18 and older. Interviews were conducted in English, and included 319 live landline telephone interviews, 480 live cell phone interviews, and 111 online surveys via a cell phone text invitation. Telephone numbers were selected through a mix of random digit dialing and list-based sampling. Landline respondents were selected with a modified Troldahl-Carter youngest adult household screen. Interviewing services were provided by Braun Research, with sample obtained from Dynata (RDD, n= 569), Aristotle (list, n= 136) and a panel of prior Monmouth poll participants (n= 205). Monmouth is responsible for all aspects of the survey design, data weighting and analysis. The full sample is weighted for region, age, education, gender and race based on US Census information (ACS 2021 one-year survey). For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling has a maximum margin of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points adjusted for sample design effects (1.52). Sampling error can be larger for sub-groups (see table below). In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls.


DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)
Self-Reported
26% Republican
44% Independent
30% Democrat
 
49% Male
51% Female
 
29% 18-34
33% 35-54
38% 55+
 
62% White
12% Black
17% Hispanic
  9% Asian/Other
 
67% No degree
33% 4 year degree

Click on pdf file link below for full methodology and crosstabs by key demographic groups.