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- If the Polls Ain’t Broke, Don’t Fix ThemBy Patrick Murray Is public opinion polling accurate? The answer to that question is driven in large part by whether a specific subset of polling – specifically, preelection “horse race” polling – is perceived as accurate. On that front, the polling industry has hit some bumps recently, particularly with the 2020 election. An evaluation of […]
- 2021′s election results may signal some new, troubling trends for Dems and the GOPBy Patrick Murray This column originally appeared as an Op-Ed in the Star-Ledger on December 20, 2021. Last month’s gubernatorial election sent shockwaves through New Jersey’s political world. An incumbent governor, who got positive reviews for handling the biggest health crisis in a century, won re-election by a relatively small margin in a state where […]
- ‘I blew it.’ Maybe it’s time to get rid of election polls.By Patrick Murray This column originally appeared as an Op-Ed on NJ.com on November 4, 2021. I blew it. The final Monmouth University Poll margin did not provide an accurate picture of the state of the governor’s race. So, if you are a Republican who believes the polls cost Ciattarelli an upset victory or a […]
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PolitickerNJ.com
Monmouth University’s Patrick Murray combines a pollster’s fixation on numbers with gut-level understanding of New Jersey politics to once again accurately call a race that many in the political establishment thought too close to accurately predict. (June 7, 2012)
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Besides exposure on political topics, Patrick Murray, Monmouth University Polling Institute Director, is tapped to discuss results of the diverse set of polls conducted annually.
Leading Center for Survey Research
The Monmouth University Polling Institute was established to be a leading center for the study of public opinion on critical national and state issues. The Polling Institute’s mission is to foster greater public accountability by ensuring that the public’s voice is heard in the policy discourse.
The Monmouth University Poll was recognized in 2013 as the only poll that correctly forecast the outcomes of both the November gubernatorial race and the unprecedented October U.S. Senate contest in New Jersey, leading the Asbury Park Press to call Monmouth’s polling “freakishly accurate.”