Latest Blog Posts
- The 2022 midterm election in New Jersey was not about policy. It was about Trump.by Patrick Murray This column originally appeared as an Op-Ed in the Star-Ledger on November 20, 2022. A lot of issues were on the ballot this year without actually being on the ballot. Inflation, crime, immigration, abortion, gun control, climate change, and not least of all — democracy itself. Midterms are supposed to be a […]
- 2022 Monmouth University Poll Recapby Patrick Murray At the Monmouth University Poll, we have never shied away from taking responsibility when we’ve been wrong, so it only seems fair to recap when we got it right as well. However, more than taking a bow, there are lessons to be learned about election polling from our 2022 experience. Most established […]
- Performance of New Jersey’s 2022 Congressional Mapby Patrick Murray I’ve been fielding a lot of “what-if” questions, particularly in light of Rep. Tom Malinowski’s election night comment about the likelihood of having won if it was his old district. So I ran some numbers for a simple “uniform shift” analysis (see table). Put simply, New Jersey Democrats won the cumulative statewide […]
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Monmouth University’s Patrick Murray combines a pollster’s fixation on numbers with gut-level understanding of New Jersey politics to once again accurately call a race that many in the political establishment thought too close to accurately predict. (June 7, 2012)
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Besides exposure on political topics, Patrick Murray, Monmouth University Polling Institute Director, is tapped to discuss results of the diverse set of polls conducted annually.
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The Monmouth University Polling Institute was established to be a leading center for the study of public opinion on critical national and state issues. The Polling Institute’s mission is to foster greater public accountability by ensuring that the public’s voice is heard in the policy discourse.
The Monmouth University Poll was recognized in 2013 as the only poll that correctly forecast the outcomes of both the November gubernatorial race and the unprecedented October U.S. Senate contest in New Jersey, leading the Asbury Park Press to call Monmouth’s polling “freakishly accurate.”