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Monmouth University Polling Institute

New Jerseyans Tell Leaders: Get Moving on Property Taxes

Friday, September 30, 2005

Residents not convinced that either candidate’s plan will work

Big news story - New Jerseyans hate their property taxes.  Nearly two-thirds of residents believe that high property taxes are driven in large part by waste and bloated payrolls, but most think it would be difficult to make a substantial dent in property taxes without cutting services.  Moreover, 83 percent of New Jerseyans do not believe that the state's politicians are serious about tackling this issue.

The latest Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey Poll  also asked Garden State residents to evaluate the property tax proposals put forth by the two main contenders for governor.  The problem is very few people have heard of either candidate's plan. Only 1-in-4 residents say they have heard of Doug Forrester's plan (25%) and a similar number are aware of Jon Corzine's plan (23%).  More than 6-in-10 (63%) have heard of neither.

When residents hear a short description of the two candidates' proposals, more think they would obtain a greater break from the Republicans' 30 percent tax credit (44%) than from the Democrat's increases to the current rebate system (23%).  Another 1-in-4 (23%) say don't believe they would get any relief from either plan.

Among those who have prior knowledge of both candidate's proposals, Forrester's is seen as more beneficial by a margin of 45 to 20 percent over Corzine's.  Homeowners select the "30-in-3" years credit over increased rebates by a 52 to 20 percent margin.  Renters are split, perhaps highlighting the overall lack of public awareness about the details in either plan.  Among renters, 32 percent say they will benefit more from Corzine's plan to 27 percent for Forrester's, even though the Republican's proposal gives direct benefits only to the actual property owner.

Both candidates have stated that they can pay for their property tax plans through cost-cutting measures.  Residents are not convinced that either will be able to pay for his plan without raising other taxes, although they have somewhat more confidence in Forrester's ability to do this.

Only 17 percent believe that Jon Corzine can pay for property tax relief through increased economic growth and cost savings, as the candidate claims.  Another 62 percent say he will have to raise other taxes to enact his plan.  By comparison, more residents - 33 percent - believe the Republican's claim that he will pay for property tax credits by eliminating fraud and wasteful spending.  Still, a majority of 51 percent say he will also have to raise taxes to achieve his plan.

"As the campaign gets under way and voters start to examine the candidates more closely, property taxes will be at the forefront," remarked Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute.  "Right now, more than 4-in-5 residents think that their political leaders are more talk than action when it comes to property tax relief.  These two candidates have to convince the voters they are serious about easing the property tax burden and that they can do it without raising other taxes."

When New Jerseyans are asked which of four taxes - federal income, state income, state sales, or local property tax - is the most unfair, it is no contest.  Fully 6-in-10 residents (61%) - including 68 percent of homeowners - tag the property tax for this dubious honor.

The poll found that half of residents (50%) would like to see a property tax system that incorporates ability to pay as well as home value in determining their tax rate.  Another 34 percent oppose this idea and 16 percent have no opinion.  On the other hand, New Jerseyans do not support a property tax plan that would lead to increases in the state income tax - 48 percent nix this idea compared to 35 percent who are willing to take a hit on income taxes if it means they will see a significant drop in their property tax bill.  Another 16 percent are undecided on this.

Many residents realize that their school district is the largest factor in the amount they pay in property taxes.  Just over half (51%) say local schools are most responsible for this, but a good number feel that other levels of government play a bigger role.  This includes state government (19%), municipal government (14%) and county government (9%).

Most residents (52%) feel that it would be hard to significantly lower property taxes without cutting services.  However, another 35 percent feel that some serious belt-tightening on the part of local authorities could do the trick.

While many New Jerseyans believe that it would be hard to lower property taxes without losing services, most think that waste and fraud (64%) and the number of administrators on local payrolls (65%) contribute a lot to the Garden State's higher property tax.  Less than half of residents (44%) say that the high salaries paid to public employees contribute a lot to the higher property tax burden.

Fewer residents - 36 percent - across New Jersey believe that growth in their towns and the services required by new development is a major contributor to higher taxes.  Among those who live in rapidly growing towns in the state, the number who tab growth as a key culprit in their increasing property tax bill is slightly higher at 41 percent.

This recent Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey Poll  was conducted by telephone with 800 New Jersey adults from September 21 to 26, 2005.  This sample has a margin of error of ±  3.5 percent.

The questions referred to in this release are as follows:  

T1.       Thinking about the different taxes that people pay, which tax do you think is the least fair - the federal income tax, state income tax, state sales tax, or local property tax?

T2.       Do you own or rent the place where you currently live?

[ASKED OF HOMEOWNERS ONLY:]  

T3.       Which of the following do you think is most responsible for the amount you pay in local property taxes-state government, county government, local government, or the public schools?

T4.       Do you think that property taxes in your town can be significantly lowered if your town and school tightened its belt and cut costs, or do you think that it would be difficult to lower property taxes without cutting services?

T5.       How much do each of the following contribute to higher property taxes in the state - [READ ITEM] - a lot, a little, or not at all?

T6.       State legislators and the candidates for governor have made a number of proposals to reduce property taxes in New Jersey.  Do you think the state's politicians are serious about tackling this issue or do you think that these proposals are more talk than action?

T7.       Have you heard of any proposals to reduce property taxes from either of the two major party candidates for governor?  [IF "YES" ASK: Which - Forrester's, Corzine's or both?]

T8.       Doug Forrester proposes giving homeowners a straight 30 percent credit on their property tax bills, whereas Jon Corzine proposes increasing the amount people receive under the current rebate system based on their income. Based on what you know or have heard, whose proposal do you think you would benefit more from - Forrester's, Corzine's, or neither one?

T9.       If Forrester is elected governor, do you think he will be able to pay for his plan by cutting fraud and wasteful spending in government or would he need to raise other state taxes such as income tax to pay for his plan? [ QUESTION ASKED OF HALF THE SAMPLE ]

T10.     If Corzine is elected governor, do you think that he will be able to pay for his plan through increased economic growth and cost savings or would he need to raise other state taxes such as income taxes to pay for his plan? [ QUESTION ASKED OF HALF THE SAMPLE ]

T11A.   Would you support or oppose a plan to significantly cut property taxes in New Jersey if it meant that the state income tax would need to be raised? [ QUESTION ASKED OF HALF THE SAMPLE ]

T11B.   Would you support or oppose a property tax system that is based on a homeowner's income and ability to pay as well as on the assessed value of their home? [ QUESTION ASKED OF HALF THE SAMPLE ]

Community Type  

For this poll, New Jersey municipalities have been grouped into the following categories based on population size and density:

Urban - Any municipality with a population of 25,000 or more and a population density over 4,000 people per square mile or a population density over 10,000 people per square mile.

Stable Towns/Suburb  - Any non-urban or non-rural municipality that had less than 10% population growth from 1990 to 2000. Also some older established towns in Bergen, Camden, Essex, Gloucester, Monmouth, Morris, Passaic, Somerset, and Union counties are grouped here.

Growth Area - Any municipality that experienced 10% or greater growth from 1990 to 2000 as well as remaining rural areas of the state.

Results for this Monmouth University/Gannett NJ Poll  are based on telephone interviews conducted September 21-26, 2005 with a statewide random sample of 800 adults, age 18 and older.  For results based on the total sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling has a maximum margin of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.  Sampling error increases as the sample size decreases, so statements based on various population subgroups, such as separate figures reported by gender or party identification, are subject to more error than are statements based on the total sample.  In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls.

Click on pdf file link below for full methodology and results by key demographic groups.   

Download this Poll Report with all tables

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