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Monmouth University Polling Institute

Christie Rating At Record Low

Monday, June 06, 2016

Trump endorsement seen as attempt to get a DC job

West Long Branch, NJ  - In case you didn't know it already, New Jersey's governor is really unpopular at home.  The latest Monmouth University Poll finds Chris Christie's job rating at an all-time low - even worse than the negative ratings earned by the state legislature.  By a 2-to-1 margin, residents think the state is worse off for Christie's time in office and the vast majority believe he endorsed Donald Trump primarily in the hope of getting a federal appointment.

Currently, just 27% of New Jersey adults approve of the job Christie is doing as governor while 63% disapprove.  Among registered voters specifically, his rating is 26% approve and 65% disapprove.  These ratings reflect a record low for the governor.  Moreover, for the first time in Christie's six-plus years in office, the state legislature actually enjoys a relatively better rating - 30% approve and 49% disapprove among all residents; 29% approve and 53% disapprove among voters.

"It's really saying something when the legislature, which rarely manages to get its rating above water, is seen as more effective than the governor," said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.

For the record, Christie does manage to eke out a net positive rating among his fellow Republicans (51% approve and 41% disapprove).  This is more than offset, however, by dismal ratings from independents (23% approve and 65% disapprove) and Democrats (17% approve and 76% disapprove).

The poll found that twice as many New Jerseyans say that the state is currently worse off (41%) because of Christie's time as governor than say it is better off (21%).  Another 34% say the state is in about the same condition as when he took office from the somewhat more popular Jon Corzine, whose approval rating was in the mid to upper 30s when Christie defeated him in 2009.

Nearly 8-in-10 Garden State residents (79%) say Christie is more concerned with his own political future than he is with governing the state (13%) - marking the highest level of public skepticism about Christie's public service commitment in more than four years of asking this question.  In fact, the vast majority of New Jerseyans (68%) say the main reason that Christie threw his presidential endorsement to "The Donald" shortly after ending his own presidential bid was his desire to get some type of appointment in the Trump administration.  Another 9% say this consideration was a minor reason for Christie's endorsement, and just 15% say that getting a job in D.C. was the furthest thing from Christie's mind when he decided to back Trump.

"Despite his statements to the contrary, the vast majority of New Jerseyans seem to believe that Christie's main concern right now is figuring how to get out of the state as soon as possible," said Murray.

The Monmouth University Poll  also asked residents to rate the job being done by Barack Obama and the state's two U.S. senators.  All three get significantly more public opinion "love" than Christie.  Obama's rating now stands at 56% approve and 39% disapprove among all adults and 53% approve and 41% disapprove among registered voters.  These numbers are somewhat more positive than they were a year ago.

The state's junior senator, Cory Booker, earns a 49% approve and 21% disapprove rating among all residents and a 53% approve and 21% disapprove rating among voters.  The state's senior senator, Bob Menendez, who is currently under indictment, earns a 40% approve and 29% disapprove rating from all adults and a 41% approve and 31% disapprove rating from registered voters.

The poll also found that just over 6-in-10 state residents give New Jersey a positive rating as a place to live - 16% excellent and 46% good.  This is a slight uptick from July of last year, when positive ratings stood at 55%, but is in line with positive ratings in the low 60s measured over the two years prior to that.

The Monmouth University Poll  was conducted by telephone with 806 New Jersey adults, including 703 registered voters, from May 23 to 27, 2016.  The total sample has a margin of error of ±  3.5 percent and the registered voter sample has a margin of error of ±  3.7 percent.  The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.

 

DATA TABLES

The questions referred to in this release are as follows:

(* Some columns may not add to 100% due to rounding.)

 

1.     Overall, how would you rate New Jersey as a place to live - excellent, good, only fair, or poor?

TREND:

Excellent/Good

Excellent

Good

Only Fair

Poor

(VOL) Don't know

(n)

May 2016

62%

16%

46%

28%

10%

0%

(806)

July 2015

55%

12%

43%

30%

15%

0%

(503)

May 2015

63%

13%

50%

27%

10%

1%

(500)

February 2015

63%

15%

48%

25%

11%

1%

(805)

September  2014

61%

13%

48%

25%

13%

1%

(802)

June 2014

62%

15%

47%

26%

11%

0%

(800)

April 2014

64%

15%

49%

26%

10%

0%

(803)

February 2014

63%

15%

48%

26%

11%

0%

(803)

December 2013

65%

20%

45%

26%

9%

0%

(802)

September 2013

65%

19%

46%

25%

10%

1%

(783)

April 2013

61%

15%

46%

27%

11%

0%

(806)

February 2013

68%

18%

50%

24%

7%

1%

(803)

December 2012

72%

20%

52%

21%

5%

1%

(816)

September 2012

65%

15%

50%

23%

11%

0%

(805)

July 2012

69%

17%

52%

23%

8%

0%

(803)

April 2012

70%

20%

50%

23%

7%

0%

(804)

February 2012

62%

15%

47%

26%

11%

1%

(803)

October 2011

67%

15%

52%

24%

8%

0%

(817)

August 2011

57%

14%

43%

31%

11%

1%

(802)

May 2011

59%

14%

45%

29%

11%

0%

(807)

December 2010

63%

17%

46%

26%

10%

1%

(2864)

October 2007

63%

17%

46%

25%

12%

1%

(1001)

August 2004

68%

22%

46%

21%

10%

1%

(800)

May 2003

72%

20%

52%

23%

5%

0%

(1002)

April 2001

76%

23%

53%

19%

4%

1%

(802)

March 2000

76%

25%

51%

17%

6%

0%

(800)

May 1999

76%

22%

54%

19%

5%

0%

(800)

February 1994

71%

18%

53%

22%

7%

0%

(801)

March 1990

68%

21%

47%

25%

6%

1%

(800)

February 1988

78%

27%

51%

17%

4%

1%

(800)

February 1987

84%

31%

53%

11%

4%

0%

(800)

May 1985

81%

29%

52%

14%

3%

1%

(500)

October 1984

80%

29%

51%

15%

4%

1%

(1000)

January 1981

66%

16%

50%

26%

7%

1%

(1003)

July 1980

68%

18%

50%

23%

7%

2%

(1005)

 

[ Q2-5 previously released. ]

6.     Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

TOTAL

REGISTERED VOTER

PARTY ID

 

Yes

No

Rep

Ind

Dem

Approve

27%

26%

28%

51%

23%

17%

Disapprove

63%

65%

51%

41%

65%

76%

(VOL) Don't know

10%

8%

21%

9%

12%

7%



TREND: All adults

Second term

May

 2016

July

2015

May

2015

Feb.

2015

Sept.

2014

June

2014

April

2014

Feb.

2014

Jan.

2014

Dec.

2013

Sept.

2013

April

2013

Feb.

2013

Approve

27%

36%

35%

48%

46%

50%

51%

50%

59%

65%

61%

63%

70%

Disapprove

63%

58%

54%

44%

39%

42%

41%

44%

32%

25%

24%

26%

17%

(VOL) Don't know

10%

6%

11%

8%

15%

9%

8%

6%

8%

10%

15%

11%

14%

Unwtd N

806

503

500

805

802

800

803

803

541

802

783

806

803



TREND: All adults

First term

Dec.

2012

Sept.

2012

July

2012

April

2012

Feb.

2012

Oct.

2011

Aug.

2011

May

2011

Feb.

2011

Sept.

2010

July

2010

April

2010

Feb.

2010

Approve

67%

53%

52%

51%

52%

54%

48%

47%

47%

45%

44%

41%

33%

Disapprove

21%

35%

36%

35%

38%

38%

42%

49%

40%

38%

44%

44%

15%

(VOL) Don't know

12%

11%

12%

14%

10%

9%

9%

5%

12%

17%

12%

15%

52%

Unwtd N

816

805

803

804

803

817

802

807

801

801

801

804

803

TREND: Registered voters

Second term

May

2016

July.

2015

May.

2015

Feb.

2015

Sept.

2014

June

2014

April

2014

Feb.

2014

Jan.

2014

Dec.

2013

Sept.

2013

April

2013

Feb.

2013

Approve

26%

34%

35%

47%

46%

49%

51%

49%

58%

65%

63%

65%

70%

Disapprove

65%

60%

56%

46%

42%

43%

43%

46%

35%

27%

24%

26%

16%

(VOL) Don't know

8%

6%

9%

6%

12%

8%

6%

6%

7%

8%

13%

10%

13%

Unwtd N

703

453

441

712

680

717

690

690

470

698

674

694

697

TREND: Registered voters First term

Dec.

2012

Sept.

2012

July

2012

April

2012

Feb.

2012

Oct.

 2011

Aug.

2011

May

2011

Feb.

2011

Sept.

 2010

July

2010

April

2010

Feb.

2010

Approve

69%

55%

53%

50%

55%

55%

50%

46%

49%

44%

45%

42%

31%

Disapprove

22%

36%

35%

38%

37%

37%

41%

49%

41%

40%

43%

44%

15%

(VOL) Don't know

9%

10%

12%

12%

9%

8%

8%

5%

9%

16%

12%

13%

53%

Unwtd N

726

715

678

692

709

693

730

725

718

726

747

719

716

 

7.     Do you approve or disapprove of the job the state legislature is doing?

TOTAL

REGISTERED VOTER

PARTY ID

 

Yes

No

Rep

Ind

Dem

Approve

30%

29%

38%

36%

27%

32%

Disapprove

49%

53%

35%

48%

53%

49%

(VOL) Don't know

20%

19%

27%

16%

21%

19%

 

TREND: Registered Voters

May

2016

July

2015

May

2015

Feb.

2015

Sept.

2014

June

2014

April

2014

Feb.

2014

Jan.

2014

Dec.

2013

Sept.

2013

April

2013

Feb.

2013

Dec.

2012

Sept.

2012

July

2012

Approve

29%

32%

33%

37%

35%

36%

38%

38%

47%

44%

38%

41%

40%

43%

32%

34%

Disapprove

53%

51%

48%

46%

46%

48%

46%

47%

35%

38%

36%

42%

35%

34%

43%

45%

(VOL) Don't know

19%

17%

19%

17%

19%

17%

15%

14%

18%

19%

27%

17%

25%

22%

25%

21%

Unwtd N

703

453

441

712

680

717

690

690

470

698

674

694

697

726

715

678

 

TREND: Registered Voters Continued

April

2012

Feb.

2012

Oct.

2011

Aug.

2011

May

2011

Feb.

2011

July

2010

April

2010

Feb.

2010

July

2009

Feb.

2009

Sept.

2008

July

2008

April

2008

March

2008

Oct.

2007

Feb.

2007

Approve

37%

34%

33%

35%

32%

29%

25%

19%

24%

31%

23%

29%

27%

28%

25%

32%

34%

Disapprove

41%

42%

45%

48%

48%

45%

49%

57%

49%

48%

55%

50%

47%

55%

53%

43%

42%

(VOL) Don't know

23%

24%

22%

17%

20%

26%

26%

24%

27%

22%

22%

21%

26%

17%

22%

25%

23%

Unwtd N

692

709

693

730

725

718

747

719

716

792

721

709

889

720

719

688

681

 

8.     Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

TOTAL

REGISTERED VOTER

PARTY ID

 

Yes

No

Rep

Ind

Dem

Approve

56%

53%

67%

19%

47%

86%

Disapprove

39%

41%

27%

79%

43%

12%

(VOL) Don't know

6%

6%

6%

2%

10%

2%

 

TREND: Registered

Voters - Second Term

May

 2016

July

2015

May

2015

Feb.

2015

Sept.

2014

June

2014

April

2014

Feb.

2014

Jan.

2014

Dec.

2013

Sept.

2013

April

2013

Feb.

2013

Approve

53%

52%

48%

54%

41%

45%

49%

49%

44%

47%

50%

55%

60%

Disapprove

41%

46%

46%

42%

54%

51%

47%

47%

50%

47%

41%

42%

33%

(VOL) Don't know

6%

3%

6%

4%

5%

4%

3%

5%

6%

6%

8%

2%

7%

Unwtd N

703

453

441

712

680

717

690

690

470

698

674

694

697

 

TREND: Registered

voters - First Term

Dec.

2012

April

2012

Feb.

2012

Oct.

2011

Aug.

2011

May

2011

Sept.

2010

July

2010

April

2010

Feb.

2010

Oct.

2009

July

2009

Approve

58%

54%

51%

47%

52%

60%

47%

51%

54%

53%

54%

59%

Disapprove

35%

41%

42%

46%

39%

36%

44%

42%

41%

38%

33%

29%

(VOL) Don't know

6%

5%

6%

7%

9%

4%

9%

6%

5%

9%

14%

12%

Unwtd N

726

692

709

693

730

725

726

747

719

716

785

792

 

[ QUESTIONS 9 AND 10 WERE ROTATED ]

9.     Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bob Menendez is doing as United States Senator?

TOTAL

REGISTERED VOTER

PARTY ID

 

Yes

No

Rep

Ind

Dem

Approve

40%

41%

32%

41%

34%

48%

Disapprove

29%

31%

19%

35%

34%

21%

(VOL) Don't know

31%

28%

49%

24%

32%

31%

TREND: Registered

voters only

May

2016

July

2015

May

2015

Feb.

2015

Sept.

2014

June

2014

April

2014

Feb.

2014

Dec.

2013

April

2013

Feb.

2013

April

2012

Feb.

2012

Oct.

2011

Aug.

2011

May

2011

July

2010

Oct.

2008

April

2008

Jan.

2008

Approve

41%

38%

42%

49%

45%

47%

51%

49%

47%

44%

41%

40%

41%

43%

38%

46%

38%

34%

41%

37%

Disapprove

31%

38%

38%

27%

30%

34%

31%

30%

27%

38%

31%

25%

26%

29%

33%

28%

33%

25%

31%

25%

(VOL) Don't know

28%

23%

20%

24%

26%

19%

18%

21%

26%

18%

28%

35%

33%

28%

29%

26%

29%

41%

28%

37%

Unwtd N

703

453

441

712

680

717

690

690

698

694

697

692

709

693

730

725

747

900

720

698

 

10.   Do you approve or disapprove of the job Cory Booker is doing as United States Senator?

TOTAL

REGISTERED VOTER

PARTY ID

 

Yes

No

Rep

Ind

Dem

Approve

49%

53%

32%

36%

43%

65%

Disapprove

21%

21%

21%

34%

24%

10%

(VOL) Don't know

30%

27%

47%

30%

33%

25%

 

TREND: Registered

voters only

May

2016

July

2015

May

2015

Feb.

2015

Sept.

2014

June

2014

April

2014

Feb.

2014

Dec.

2013

Approve

53%

45%

51%

51%

42%

48%

47%

47%

37%

Disapprove

21%

24%

21%

21%

23%

25%

23%

20%

21%

(VOL) Don't know

27%

31%

27%

27%

35%

27%

30%

32%

43%

Unwtd N

703

453

441

712

680

717

690

690

698

 

Turning back to New Jersey,

11.   Do you think Chris Christie is more concerned with governing the state of New Jersey or more concerned about his own political future? [ CHOICES WERE ROTATED ]

TOTAL

REGISTERED VOTER

PARTY ID

 

Yes

No

Rep

Ind

Dem

Governing the state of NJ

13%

13%

13%

23%

12%

8%

His own political future

79%

79%

76%

65%

79%

87%

(VOL) Both equally

3%

3%

5%

6%

4%

1%

(VOL) Don't know

5%

5%

7%

6%

4%

4%

  TREND:

May

2016

July

2015

May

2015

February

2015

September

2014

June

2014

April

2014

February

2014

January

2014

September

2013

December

2012

February

2012

Governing the state of NJ

13%

17%

16%

25%

33%

32%

35%

35%

42%

44%

61%

39%

His own political future

79%

76%

70%

66%

56%

55%

54%

56%

47%

38%

30%

48%

(VOL) Both equally

3%

4%

8%

5%

5%

7%

7%

5%

6%

12%

5%

6%

(VOL) Don't know

5%

4%

6%

4%

7%

6%

4%

4%

5%

6%

4%

7%

Unwtd N

806

503

500

805

802

800

803

803

541

783

816

803

 

12.   Do you think New Jersey is currently better off or worse off because of Christie's time as governor, or is it about the same as it was before he took office?

TOTAL

REGISTERED VOTER

PARTY ID

 

Yes

No

Rep

Ind

Dem

Better off

21%

20%

22%

46%

20%

9%

Worse off

41%

44%

29%

21%

39%

57%

About the same

34%

33%

39%

32%

37%

31%

(VOL) Don't know

4%

2%

10%

0%

4%

3%

 

13.   Do you think Chris Christie endorsed Donald Trump for president because he hopes to get a position in the Trump administration or was this not a reason for his endorsement?  [ If YES :   Was this the main reason for his endorsement or a secondary reason?]

TOTAL

REGISTERED VOTER

PARTY ID

 

Yes

No

Rep

Ind

Dem

Yes, the main reason

68%

69%

62%

55%

69%

76%

Yes, a secondary reason

9%

8%

14%

10%

9%

9%

No, not a reason

15%

15%

15%

26%

15%

8%

(VOL) Don't know

8%

8%

9%

9%

7%

7%

 

[ Q14-18 held for future release. Q19-27 previously released. ]

The Monmouth University Poll  was sponsored and conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute from May 23 to 27, 2016 with a statewide random sample of 806 adult residents, including 566 contacted via live interview on a landline telephone and 240 via live interview on a cell phone, in English.  Monmouth is responsible for all aspects of the survey questionnaire design, data weighting and analysis.  Final sample is weighted for region, age, education, gender and race based on US Census information.  Data collection support provided by Braun Research (field) and SSI (RDD sample).  For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling has a maximum margin of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points (unadjusted for sample design).  Sampling error can be larger for sub-groups (see table below).  In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls.

POLL DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)

21% Rep 49% Male 28% 18-34 62% White
42% Ind 51% Female 40% 35-54 13% Black
37% Dem   33% 55+ 16% Hispanic
        9% Asian/Other

Registered Voter Sample (weighted)

22% Rep 47% Male 23% 18-34 66% White
40% Ind 53% Female 40% 35-54 13% Black
38% Dem   37% 55+ 12% Hispanic
        8% Asian/Other

 

TOTAL

REGISTERED VOTER

PARTY ID

 

Yes

No

Rep

Ind

Dem

Unweighted  N

806

703

103

184

334

266

moe

3.5%

3.7%

9.7%

7.2%

5.4%

6.0%

 

###

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