{"id":40802258616,"date":"2024-12-11T14:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-12-11T19:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/?post_type=poll&p=40802258616"},"modified":"2024-12-11T14:01:50","modified_gmt":"2024-12-11T19:01:50","slug":"monmouthpoll_us_121124","status":"publish","type":"poll","link":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/reports\/monmouthpoll_us_121124\/","title":{"rendered":"Few Approve of Hunter Biden Pardon"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

West Long Branch, NJ<\/em> \u2013 Most Americans give a thumbs down to President Joe Biden\u2019s pardon of his son, with few agreeing that Hunter Biden\u2019s case was treated more harshly because of who he is. At the same time, the Monmouth <\/em><\/strong>(<\/em><\/strong>\u201cMon-muth\u201d<\/em><\/strong>) <\/em><\/strong>University Poll<\/em><\/strong> finds that public opinion is similarly negative about President-elect Donald Trump\u2019s pardons of close associates in his first term as well as the potential pardons of Jan. 6 rioters in his second. Still, most Americans feel the Biden pardon undermines Democrats\u2019 credibility when criticizing Trump for similar actions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Chart<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Barely 1 in 3 Americans (32%) approve of Biden\u2019s decision to pardon his son Hunter, while 58% disapprove. While most Democrats (65%) stand by the president\u2019s move, few independents (27%) and Republicans (12%) look favorably on the action. The president\u2019s stated rationale for the pardon is that the younger Biden was treated differently by the justice system. However, just 35% of the American public says he was treated more harshly because of who he is while 47% say his case was treated the same as similar cases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThis is one of Biden\u2019s final acts as president. Whatever the motivation, it certainly isn\u2019t going to help his legacy,\u201d said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Opinion of Biden\u2019s job performance as president \u2013 35% approve and 60% disapprove \u2013 is nearly identical to his prior low mark (34% approve and 61% disapprove in December 2023). Moreover, Biden\u2019s current job rating is practically a mirror image of where he started his term in January 2021 when a majority of 54% approved of his performance and just 30% disapproved. While Biden maintains a 79% approval rating among his fellow Democrats, he only musters a 26% positive rating among independents and 7% among Republicans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Chart<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The poll finds that public displeasure with use of the pardon power for family members is not limited to the incumbent president. Just 29% approve of pardons issued by Trump during his first term for people close to him, including his daughter\u2019s father-in-law. A majority (56%) disapprove of these pardons, although the partisan script is flipped from opinion about the Biden pardon. While 74% of Democrats and 58% of independents disapprove of Trump\u2019s first-term pardons of close associates, just 32% of Republicans agree. Moreover, 52% of all Americans disapprove of Trump nominating people he pardoned to high-level government positions in his new administration. Just 14% approve of such appointments and 31% say this does not matter to them. [Note: Trump has nominated Charles Kushner, his daughter\u2019s father-in-law whom he pardoned, as Ambassador to France, but this was not specifically mentioned in the poll question.]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Chart<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Taken together, 33% of the American public disapproves both of Biden\u2019s pardon of his son and Trump\u2019s pardons of his close associates. Another 25% disapprove only of Biden\u2019s pardon and 22% disapprove only of Trump\u2019s pardons. At the other end of the spectrum, 11% of Americans approve of both presidents\u2019 pardons. Among independents, 42% disapprove of both sets of pardons. They are joined in this view by 29% of Republicans and 21% of Democrats. A majority of Republicans (52%) disapprove only of Biden\u2019s pardon and a similar number of Democrats (54%) disapprove only of Trump\u2019s pardons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking ahead, most Americans (61%) would disapprove of Trump pardoning people who were convicted of attacking the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021. Just 34% would approve of this move. Interestingly, Republicans show more support for Trump pardoning Jan. 6 rioters (64%) than say they approve of his first-term pardons for close associates (44%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIf Trump follows through on pardoning some of the Jan. 6 rioters, he will please his base and not much else. However, that may be all he is concerned about since Biden\u2019s move to protect his own son has made it harder for Democrats to claim the moral high ground,\u201d said Murray.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A majority of Americans (57%) say Biden\u2019s pardon of his son makes it harder for Democrats to criticize similar actions by Trump. Just 37% say it has no effect on Democrats\u2019 credibility in this area. Among members of the public who identify as a Democrat, 37% say Biden\u2019s action undermines their party\u2019s credibility while 52% say it has no effect.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Monmouth University Poll<\/em> was conducted by telephone and online from December 5 to 10, 2024 with 1,006 adults in the United States.  The question results in this release have a margin of error of +\/- 3.9 percentage points for the full sample. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

QUESTIONS AND RESULTS     <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

(* Some columns may not add to 100% due to rounding.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[Q1-8 held for future release<\/em>.<\/em>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

9.<\/span>Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as president?<\/span><\/h3>\n
  Trend:<\/th>Dec.
2024<\/strong><\/th>		June
2024<\/th>		April
2024<\/th>		Feb.
2024<\/th>		Dec.
2023<\/th>		Sept.
2023<\/th>		July
2023<\/th>		May
2023<\/th>		March
2023<\/th>		Jan.
2023<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Approve<\/td>35%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>38%<\/td>42%<\/td>38%<\/td>34%<\/td>38%<\/td>44%<\/td>41%<\/td>41%<\/td>43%<\/td><\/tr>
Disapprove<\/td>60%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>58%<\/td>55%<\/td>58%<\/td>61%<\/td>55%<\/td>52%<\/td>53%<\/td>51%<\/td>48%<\/td><\/tr>
(VOL) No opinion<\/td>5%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>4%<\/td>3%<\/td>5%<\/td>5%<\/td>7%<\/td>4%<\/td>6%<\/td>8%<\/td>9%<\/td><\/tr>
 (n)<\/em><\/em><\/td>(1,006)<\/em><\/strong><\/td>(1,106)<\/em><\/td>(808)<\/em><\/td>(902)<\/em><\/td>(803)<\/em><\/td>(814)<\/em><\/td>(910)<\/em><\/td>(981)<\/em><\/td>(805)<\/em><\/td>(805)<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
  Trend:
Continued<\/em><\/th>		Dec.
2022<\/th>		Oct.
2022<\/th>		Sept.
2022<\/th>		Aug.
2022<\/th>		June
2022<\/th>		May
2022<\/th>		March
2022<\/th>		Jan.
2022<\/th>		Dec.
2021<\/th>		Nov.
2021<\/th>		Sept.
2021<\/th>		July
2021<\/th>		June
2021<\/th>		April
2021<\/th>		March
2021<\/th>		Jan.
2021<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Approve<\/td>42%<\/td>40%<\/td>38%<\/td>38%<\/td>36%<\/td>38%<\/td>39%<\/td>39%<\/td>40%<\/td>42%<\/td>46%<\/td>48%<\/td>48%<\/td>54%<\/td>51%<\/td>54%<\/td><\/tr>
Disapprove<\/td>50%<\/td>53%<\/td>54%<\/td>56%<\/td>58%<\/td>57%<\/td>54%<\/td>54%<\/td>50%<\/td>50%<\/td>46%<\/td>44%<\/td>43%<\/td>41%<\/td>42%<\/td>30%<\/td><\/tr>
(VOL) No opinion<\/td>8%<\/td>7%<\/td>8%<\/td>7%<\/td>6%<\/td>5%<\/td>7%<\/td>7%<\/td>11%<\/td>9%<\/td>8%<\/td>8%<\/td>9%<\/td>5%<\/td>8%<\/td>16%<\/td><\/tr>
 (n)<\/em><\/em><\/td>(805)<\/em><\/td>(808)<\/em><\/td>(806)<\/em><\/td>(808)<\/em><\/td>(978)<\/em><\/td>(807)<\/em><\/td>(809)<\/em><\/td>(794)<\/em><\/td>(808)<\/em><\/td>(811)<\/em><\/td>(802)<\/em><\/td>(804)<\/em><\/td>(810)<\/em><\/em><\/td>(800)<\/em><\/em><\/td>(802)<\/em><\/em><\/td>(809)<\/em><\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

[Q10-17 held for future release<\/em>.<\/em>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

18.<\/span>Have you heard that President Biden recently issued a pardon for his son Hunter, or have you not heard anything about this until now?<\/span><\/h3>\n
<\/th>Dec.
2024<\/strong><\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Yes, have heard<\/td>89%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
No, have not heard<\/td>11%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
(n)<\/em><\/em><\/td>(1,006)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

19.<\/span>Do you approve or disapprove of Biden\u2019s pardon?\u00a0 [Do you approve\/disapprove strongly or just somewhat?]<\/span><\/h3>\n
<\/th>Dec.
2024<\/strong><\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Strongly approve<\/td>17%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Somewhat approve<\/td>15%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Somewhat disapprove<\/td>21%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Strongly disapprove<\/td>37%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
(VOL) Don\u2019t know<\/td>9%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
(n)<\/em><\/em><\/td>(1,006)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

20.<\/span>Do you think Hunter Biden\u2019s criminal case was treated the same as similar cases or was he treated more harshly because of who he is?<\/span><\/h3>\n
<\/th>Dec.
2024<\/strong><\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Same as similar cases<\/td>47%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
More harshly<\/td>35%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
(VOL) Don\u2019t know<\/td>18%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
(n)<\/em><\/em><\/td>(1,006)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

21.<\/span>In your view, does President Biden\u2019s pardon of his son make it harder for Democrats to criticize similar actions by incoming President Trump, or does it have no effect on their own credibility when criticizing Trump?<\/span><\/h3>\n
<\/th>Dec.
2024<\/strong><\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Makes it harder<\/td>57%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Has no effect<\/td>37%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
(VOL) Don\u2019t know<\/td>6%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
(n)<\/em><\/em><\/td>(1,006)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

22.<\/span>During his first term in office, President Trump pardoned a number of people close to him, including his daughter\u2019s father-in-law. Thinking back, do you generally approve or disapprove of those pardons?<\/span><\/h3>\n
<\/th>Dec.
2024<\/strong><\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Approve<\/td>29%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Disapprove<\/td>56%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
(VOL) Don\u2019t know<\/td>15%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
(n)<\/em><\/em><\/td>(1,006)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

23.<\/span>Do you approve or disapprove of Trump nominating people he pardoned to high-level government positions in his new administration, or doesn\u2019t this matter to you?<\/span><\/h3>\n
<\/th>Dec.
2024<\/strong><\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Approve<\/td>14%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Disapprove<\/td>52%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Does not matter<\/td>31%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
(VOL) Don\u2019t know<\/td>3%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
(n)<\/em><\/em><\/td>(1,006)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

24.<\/span>Would you approve or disapprove of Trump pardoning people who were convicted of attacking the U.S. Capitol on January 6, 2021?<\/span><\/h3>\n
<\/th>Dec.
2024<\/strong><\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Approve<\/td>34%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Disapprove<\/td>61%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
(VOL) Don\u2019t know<\/td>5%<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
(n)<\/em><\/em><\/td>(1,006)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

[Q25-26 held for future release<\/em>.<\/em>]<\/p>\n\n\n

METHODOLOGY<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n

The Monmouth University Poll<\/em> was sponsored and conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute from December 5 to 10, 2024 with a probability-based national random sample of 1,006 adults age 18 and older. Interviews were conducted in English, and included 208 live landline telephone interviews, 540 live cell phone interviews, and 258 online surveys via a cell phone text invitation. Telephone numbers were selected through a mix of random digit dialing and list-based sampling. Landline respondents were selected with a modified Troldahl-Carter youngest adult household screen. Interviewing services were provided by Braun Research, with sample obtained from Dynata (RDD, n=637), Aristotle (list, n=115) and a panel of prior Monmouth poll participants (n=254). Monmouth is responsible for all aspects of the survey design, data weighting and analysis. The full sample is weighted for region, age, education, gender and race based on US Census information (ACS 2022 one-year survey). For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling has a maximum margin of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points adjusted for sample design effects (1.63). Sampling error can be larger for sub-groups (see table below). In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls.<\/p>\n\n\n

Demographics (weighted)<\/em><\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n

Party (self-reported): 27% Republican, 47% Independent, 26% Democrat<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sex: 49% men, 50% women, 1% other<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Age: 29% 18-34, 33% 35-54, 38% 55+<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Race: 62% White, 11% Black, 17% Hispanic, 10% Asian\/other<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Education: 38% high school or less, 29% some college, 18% 4 year degree, 15% graduate degree<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Click on pdf file link below for full methodology and crosstabs by key demographic groups.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Opinion is similar for Trump pardons, but move hurts Democrats\u2019 credibility <\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":40802258617,"template":"","geography":[18],"class_list":["post-40802258616","poll","type-poll","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","geography-national"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll\/40802258616","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/poll"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll\/40802258616\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40802258631,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll\/40802258616\/revisions\/40802258631"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/40802258617"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40802258616"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"geography","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/geography?post=40802258616"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}