{"id":40802246550,"date":"2020-06-03T11:00:00","date_gmt":"2020-06-03T15:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/?post_type=poll&#038;p=40802246550"},"modified":"2020-06-03T10:27:33","modified_gmt":"2020-06-03T14:27:33","slug":"monmouthpoll_us_060320","status":"publish","type":"poll","link":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/reports\/monmouthpoll_us_060320\/","title":{"rendered":"More Voters Trust Biden on Race Relations"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>West Long Branch, NJ<\/em> \u2013 Joe Biden currently holds an 11-point lead over Donald Trump in the presidential race as more voters say they trust the challenger to handle race relations in the country. The latest national <strong><em>Monmouth <\/em><\/strong><strong><em>(<\/em><\/strong><strong><em>\u201cMon-muth\u201d<\/em><\/strong><strong><em>) <\/em><\/strong><strong><em>University Poll<\/em><\/strong> also finds somewhat more confidence in Biden\u2019s ability to handle the post-pandemic recovery efforts with more voters thinking that the outbreak will hurt Trump\u2019s reelection prospects than said the same two months ago. Most voters feel that limitations on holding in-person events during the pandemic will have no impact on the campaign\u2019s tone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Biden currently has the support of 52% of registered voters and Trump has the support of 41%. The Democrat\u2019s lead has been slowly widening. It stood at 50% to 41% last month, 48% to 44% in April, and 48% to 45% in March.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe race continues to be largely a referendum on the incumbent. The initial reaction to ongoing racial unrest in the country suggests that most voters feel Trump is not handling the situation all that well,\u201d said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute. <em>[Note: Most of the interviewing for this poll was completed before Trump\u2019s appearance outside the White House on Monday.]<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>One-third of voters (33%) say that race relations will be a major factor in their vote for president this year and another 17% say it will be a minor factor. About half (49%) say it will not be a factor at all in their vote choice. More voters of color (44%) than white voters (27%) say that race relations will be a major factor. However, there are partisan differences among white voters who feel this way \u2013 ranging from 48% of white Democrats to 35% of white independents and just 4% of white Republicans who say that race relations will be a major factor in their decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Overall, more voters express confidence in Biden than say the same about Trump when it comes to handling race relations. Just over half have confidence in Biden\u2019s ability to deal with this issue (17% a great deal and 35% some), while 17% do not have much confidence and 29% have none at all. Only 4 in 10 voters, though, have confidence in Trump (22% a great deal and 18% some), while 10% do not have much confidence and fully half \u2013 50% \u2013 have none at all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Republicans tend to hold extreme views on both candidates\u2019 abilities. Nearly 6 in 10 GOP voters (58%) have a great deal of confidence in Trump\u2019s ability to handle race relations and an identical 58% have no confidence at all in Biden. On the other hand, nearly all Democrats (89%) have no confidence at all in Trump on this issue, but just 32% say they have a great deal of confidence in Biden. However, most of the remaining Democratic voters express some confidence (53%) in his ability to handle race relations. Few independents have a great deal of trust in either Trump (12%) or Biden (13%) on this issue, but they are far more likely to express no confidence at all in the incumbent (50%) versus the challenger (27%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe lack of a public campaign during the pandemic may be hurting Trump, but it is not necessarily helping Biden. Trump has not been able to lean on the large rallies that generate positive feedback for him, but Biden has not been much of a presence at all on the public stage. Many voters think the Democrat could do a good job, but they haven\u2019t seen enough of him to judge for certain,\u201d said Murray. <em>[Note: The poll was conducted before Biden\u2019s speech in Philadelphia on Tuesday.]<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Turning to the post-pandemic recovery, just under half of the nation\u2019s voters have either a great deal (33%) or some (14%) confidence in Trump\u2019s ability to deal with the recovery, while 12% do not have much confidence and 40% have none at all. Just over half have either a great deal (18%) or some (36%) confidence in Biden\u2019s ability to deal with the recovery, while 12% do not have much and 33% have none at all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The fact that more voters have a <em>great deal<\/em> of confidence in Trump than Biden when it comes to the coronavirus recovery is due to greater certainty among the president\u2019s partisan base. Among Republican voters, 74% have a great deal of confidence in Trump and 75% have none at all in Biden. In comparison, while 70% of Democrats have no confidence at all in Trump\u2019s ability to handle the recovery, just 34% say they have a great deal of confidence in Biden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cBiden may have issued a multipoint recovery plan for the coronavirus outbreak, but it\u2019s a bit like the proverbial tree falling in an empty forest. Even if you are a Democrat, it\u2019s a little difficult to express your full-throated endorsement of a plan you haven\u2019t heard about,\u201d said Murray.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More voters think that Trump\u2019s handling of the outbreak has made it less likely (38%) rather than more likely (18%) that he will be reelected in November. This marks a shift from April when opinion on this question was almost evenly divided (31% less likely to 27% more likely). Another 41% say that Trump\u2019s handling of the pandemic will have no impact on his reelection prospects, which is up slightly from 36% two months ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The poll also finds that favorability ratings for both candidates have dipped in the past month. Trump registers a negative 38% favorable to 57% unfavorable opinion, which is more negative than prior polls. The incumbent had a 40% favorable to 53% unfavorable rating in May, a 42% to 50% rating in April, a 46% to 49% rating in March, and a 44% to 53% rating in February. Biden\u2019s rating stands at 42% favorable and 49% unfavorable, which compares with 41% to 44% in May, 41% to 42% in April, 43% to 43% in March, and 40% to 53% in February. The number of voters with no opinion of Biden increased from 8% in February to 17% in April. This has decreased to 9% in the current poll, with most of that opinion shifting into the unfavorable column.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <em>Monmouth University Poll<\/em> also posed a generic ballot test for the U.S. House of Representatives election, which shows 52% of voters currently supporting the Democratic candidate in their district and 43% backing the Republican. This result is similar to last month\u2019s poll (52% to 42%) as well as to polling at a similar point in the last midterm election (48% to 41% in <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/reports\/monmouthpoll_us_061818\/#Question4\" target=\"_blank\">June 2018<\/a>). Democrats went on to win the national House vote by 8 points that November (53% to 45%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Voter optimism has dipped slightly since earlier this spring. Currently, 62% feel optimistic about the 2020 presidential election, which is down slightly from 65% in March. Another 34% feel pessimistic, which is up from 27% three months ago. The drop has occurred among partisans on both sides of the aisle, but Republicans (76%) remain more optimistic than Democrats (58%) overall. Optimism among independents has been holding fairly steady and currently registers at 55%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The poll also finds that most voters think the coronavirus outbreak will have little impact on the tone of the race. When asked about having fewer in-person campaign events due to the outbreak, 19% see this as a good thing and 21% see this as a bad thing, but 59% say it does not matter to them. Slightly more voters say that fewer in-person events will lead to a more negative (23%) than more positive (12%) campaign overall, but 62% say this will make no difference to the tone of the 2020 campaign.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <em>Monmouth University Poll<\/em> was conducted by telephone from May 28 to June 1, 2020 with 807 adults in the United States. The results in this release are based on 742 registered voters and have a +\/- 3.6 percentage point sampling margin of error.&nbsp; The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>QUESTIONS AND RESULTS&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>(* Some columns may not add to 100% due to rounding.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>[<em>Q1-3 previously released.<\/em>]<em><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>[<em>Q4-27 held for future release.<\/em>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"Question28\" class=\"wp-block-mu-question\"><p class=\"question\"><span class=\"question-number\">28.<\/span> <span class=\"question-text\">How likely is it that you will vote in the November election \u2013 are you certain to vote, likely to vote, are you not sure, or are you unlikely to vote?<\/span><\/p>\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td>TREND: <em>REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em><\/td><td><strong>June<br>2020<\/strong><\/td><td>May<br>2020<\/td><td>April<br>2020<\/td><td>March<br>2020<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Certain to vote<\/td><td><strong>86%<\/strong><\/td><td>80%<\/td><td>82%<\/td><td>86%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Likely to vote&nbsp;<\/td><td><strong>9%<\/strong><\/td><td>12%<\/td><td>10%<\/td><td>10%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Not sure&nbsp;<\/td><td><strong>3%<\/strong><\/td><td>6%<\/td><td>5%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Unlikely to vote<\/td><td><strong>2%<\/strong><\/td><td>2%<\/td><td>2%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Definitely won\u2019t vote<\/td><td><strong>0%<\/strong><\/td><td>0%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>0%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>(n)<\/em><em><\/em><\/td><td><strong><em>(742)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><td><em>(739)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(743)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(754)<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"Question29\" class=\"wp-block-mu-question\"><p class=\"question\"><span class=\"question-number\">29.<\/span> <span class=\"question-text\">If the election for President was today, would you vote for \u2026 Donald Trump the Republican or Joe Biden the Democrat? [<em>NAMES WERE ROTATED<\/em>] [<em>If UNDECIDED:<\/em> If you had to vote for one of the following candidates at this moment, who do you lean toward \u2013 Donald Trump or Joe Biden?]<\/span><\/p>\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td>TREND: <em>REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em> (<em>with leaners<\/em>)<\/td><td><strong>June<br>2020<\/strong><\/td><td>May<br>2020<\/td><td>April<br>2020<\/td><td>March<br>2020<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Donald Trump<\/td><td><strong>41%<\/strong><\/td><td>41%<\/td><td>44%<\/td><td>45%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Joe Biden<\/td><td><strong>52%<\/strong><\/td><td>50%<\/td><td>48%<\/td><td>48%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Other candidate<\/td><td><strong>5%<\/strong><\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>5%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) No one<\/td><td><strong>1%<\/strong><\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>0%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Undecided<\/td><td><strong>1%<\/strong><\/td><td>5%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>4%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>(n)<\/em><em><\/em><\/td><td><strong><em>(742)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><td><em>(739)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(743)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(754)<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"Question30\" class=\"wp-block-mu-question\"><p class=\"question\"><span class=\"question-number\">30.<\/span> <span class=\"question-text\">If the election for U.S. House of Representatives was held today, would you vote for the Republican or the Democratic candidate in your Congressional district? [<em>ITEMS WERE ROTATED<\/em>] [<em>If UNDECIDED:<\/em> At this time do you lean more toward the Republican or more toward the Democratic candidate?]<\/span><\/p>\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td>TREND: <em>REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em> (<em>with leaners<\/em>)<\/td><td><strong>June<br>2020<\/strong><\/td><td>May<br>2020<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Republican<\/td><td><strong>43%<\/strong><\/td><td>42%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Democratic<\/td><td><strong>52%<\/strong><\/td><td>52%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Other candidate&nbsp;<\/td><td><strong>1%<\/strong><\/td><td>1%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) No one<\/td><td><strong>1%<\/strong><\/td><td>0%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Undecided<\/td><td><strong>4%<\/strong><\/td><td>5%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>(n)<\/em><em><\/em><\/td><td><strong><em>(742)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><td><em>(739)<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>[<em>QUESTIONS 31 &amp; 32 WERE ROTATED<\/em>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"Question31\" class=\"wp-block-mu-question\"><p class=\"question\"><span class=\"question-number\">31.<\/span> <span class=\"question-text\">Is your general impression of Donald Trump very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable, or do you have no opinion?<\/span><\/p>\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td>TREND: <em>REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em><\/td><td><strong>June<br>2020<\/strong><\/td><td>May<br>2020<\/td><td>April<br>2020<\/td><td>March<br>2020<\/td><td>Feb.<br>&nbsp;2020<\/td><td>Jan.<br>2020<\/td><td>Dec.<br>2019<\/td><td>Nov.<br>2019<\/td><td>Sept.<br>2019<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Very favorable<\/td><td><strong>26%<\/strong><\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>29%<\/td><td>35%<\/td><td>35%<\/td><td>33%<\/td><td>34%<\/td><td>30%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Somewhat favorable<\/td><td><strong>12%<\/strong><\/td><td>16%<\/td><td>18%<\/td><td>17%<\/td><td>9%<\/td><td>8%<\/td><td>13%<\/td><td>10%<\/td><td>13%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Somewhat unfavorable<\/td><td><strong>9%<\/strong><\/td><td>9%<\/td><td>7%<\/td><td>7%<\/td><td>6%<\/td><td>4%<\/td><td>5%<\/td><td>4%<\/td><td>6%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Very unfavorable<\/td><td><strong>48%<\/strong><\/td><td>44%<\/td><td>43%<\/td><td>42%<\/td><td>47%<\/td><td>51%<\/td><td>47%<\/td><td>50%<\/td><td>50%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>No opinion<\/td><td><strong>5%<\/strong><\/td><td>7%<\/td><td>7%<\/td><td>5%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>2%<\/td><td>2%<\/td><td>2%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>(n)<\/em><em><\/em><\/td><td><strong><em>(742)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><td><em>(739)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(743)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(754)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(827)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(847)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(838)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(835)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(1,017)<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"Question32\" class=\"wp-block-mu-question\"><p class=\"question\"><span class=\"question-number\">32.<\/span> <span class=\"question-text\">Is your general impression of Joe Biden very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable, or do you have no opinion?<\/span><\/p>\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td>TREND: <em>REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em><\/td><td><strong>June<br>2020<\/strong><\/td><td>May<br>2020<\/td><td>April<br>2020<\/td><td>March<br>2020<\/td><td>Feb.<br>&nbsp;2020<\/td><td>Jan.<br>2020<\/td><td>Dec.<br>2019<\/td><td>Nov.<br>2019<\/td><td>Sept.<br>2019<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Very favorable<\/td><td><strong>15%<\/strong><\/td><td>15%<\/td><td>15%<\/td><td>18%<\/td><td>16%<\/td><td>19%<\/td><td>18%<\/td><td>18%<\/td><td>20%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Somewhat favorable<\/td><td><strong>27%<\/strong><\/td><td>26%<\/td><td>26%<\/td><td>25%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>23%<\/td><td>25%<\/td><td>25%<\/td><td>26%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Somewhat unfavorable<\/td><td><strong>18%<\/strong><\/td><td>16%<\/td><td>17%<\/td><td>17%<\/td><td>17%<\/td><td>16%<\/td><td>16%<\/td><td>17%<\/td><td>18%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Very unfavorable<\/td><td><strong>31%<\/strong><\/td><td>28%<\/td><td>25%<\/td><td>26%<\/td><td>36%<\/td><td>33%<\/td><td>34%<\/td><td>33%<\/td><td>27%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>No opinion<\/td><td><strong>9%<\/strong><\/td><td>16%<\/td><td>17%<\/td><td>13%<\/td><td>8%<\/td><td>8%<\/td><td>7%<\/td><td>7%<\/td><td>9%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>(n)<\/em><em><\/em><\/td><td><strong><em>(742)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><td><em>(739)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(743)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(754)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(827)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(847)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(838)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(835)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(1,017)<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"Question33\" class=\"wp-block-mu-question\"><p class=\"question\"><span class=\"question-number\">33.<\/span> <span class=\"question-text\">Has Donald Trump\u2019s handling of the coronavirus outbreak made it more likely or less likely that he will be reelected in November, or has it made no difference either way?<\/span><\/p>\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td>TREND: <em>REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em><\/td><td><strong>June<br>2020<\/strong><\/td><td>April<br>2020<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>More likely<\/td><td><strong>18%<\/strong><\/td><td>27%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Less likely<\/td><td><strong>38%<\/strong><\/td><td>31%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>No difference<\/td><td><strong>41%<\/strong><\/td><td>36%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Don\u2019t know<\/td><td><strong>2%<\/strong><\/td><td>6%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>(n)<\/em><em><\/em><\/td><td><strong><em>(742)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><td><em>(743)<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>[<em>QUESTIONS 34 &amp; 35 WERE ROTATED<\/em>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"Question34\" class=\"wp-block-mu-question\"><p class=\"question\"><span class=\"question-number\">34.<\/span> <span class=\"question-text\">How much confidence do you have in Donald Trump\u2019s ability to handle the post-pandemic recovery \u2013 a great deal, some, not much, or none at all?<\/span><\/p>\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td><em>REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em><\/td><td><strong>June<br>2020<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Great deal<\/td><td><strong>33%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Some<\/td><td><strong>14%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Not much<\/td><td><strong>12%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>None at all<\/td><td><strong>40%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Don\u2019t know<\/td><td><strong>0%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>(n)<\/em><em><\/em><\/td><td><strong><em>(742)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"Question35\" class=\"wp-block-mu-question\"><p class=\"question\"><span class=\"question-number\">35.<\/span> <span class=\"question-text\">How much confidence do you have in Joe Biden\u2019s ability to handle the post-pandemic recovery \u2013 a great deal, some, not much, or none at all?<\/span><\/p>\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td><em>REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em><\/td><td><strong>June<br>2020<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Great deal<\/td><td><strong>18%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Some<\/td><td><strong>36%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Not much<\/td><td><strong>12%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>None at all<\/td><td><strong>33%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Don\u2019t know<\/td><td><strong>1%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>(n)<\/em><em><\/em><\/td><td><strong><em>(742)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"Question36\" class=\"wp-block-mu-question\"><p class=\"question\"><span class=\"question-number\">36.<\/span> <span class=\"question-text\">The coronavirus outbreak has made it more likely that there will be fewer in-person campaign events this election season. From your perspective, will having fewer in-person campaign events be a good thing or a bad thing, or doesn\u2019t it matter to you?<\/span><\/p>\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td><em>REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em><\/td><td><strong>June<br>2020<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Good thing<\/td><td><strong>19%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bad thing<\/td><td><strong>21%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Doesn\u2019t matter<\/td><td><strong>59%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Don\u2019t know<\/td><td><strong>1%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>(n)<\/em><em><\/em><\/td><td><strong><em>(742)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"Question37\" class=\"wp-block-mu-question\"><p class=\"question\"><span class=\"question-number\">37.<\/span> <span class=\"question-text\">Do you think having an election with fewer in-person events will lead to a more positive or more negative campaign overall, or will it make no difference to the tone of the campaign?<\/span><\/p>\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td><em>REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em><\/td><td><strong>June<br>2020<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>More positive<\/td><td><strong>12%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>More negative<\/td><td><strong>23%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>No difference<\/td><td><strong>62%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Don\u2019t know<\/td><td><strong>3%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>(n)<\/em><em><\/em><\/td><td><strong><em>(742)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"Question38\" class=\"wp-block-mu-question\"><p class=\"question\"><span class=\"question-number\">38.<\/span> <span class=\"question-text\">Do you feel optimistic or pessimistic about the 2020 presidential election? [Is that very or somewhat optimistic\/pessimistic?]<\/span><\/p>\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td>TREND: <em>REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em><\/td><td><strong>June<br>2020<\/strong><\/td><td>May<br>2020<\/td><td>April<br>2020<\/td><td>March<br>2020<\/td><td>Feb.<br>2020<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Very optimistic<\/td><td><strong>31%<\/strong><\/td><td>30%<\/td><td>28%<\/td><td>34%<\/td><td>35%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Somewhat optimistic<\/td><td><strong>31%<\/strong><\/td><td>34%<\/td><td>34%<\/td><td>31%<\/td><td>30%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Somewhat pessimistic<\/td><td><strong>19%<\/strong><\/td><td>17%<\/td><td>17%<\/td><td>15%<\/td><td>18%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Very pessimistic<\/td><td><strong>15%<\/strong><\/td><td>12%<\/td><td>12%<\/td><td>12%<\/td><td>12%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Neither, don\u2019t care<\/td><td><strong>2%<\/strong><\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>4%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Don\u2019t know<\/td><td><strong>2%<\/strong><\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>6%<\/td><td>5%<\/td><td>2%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>(n)<\/em><em><\/em><\/td><td><strong><em>(742)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><td><em>(739)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(743)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(754)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(827)<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td>COMPARISON: <em>REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em><\/td><td><strong>June<br>2020<\/strong><\/td><td>May<br>2020<\/td><td>April<br>2020<\/td><td>March<br>2020<\/td><td>Feb.<br>2020<\/td><td><em>2016:<\/em><\/td><td><em>Aug.<br>2016<\/em><\/td><td><em>June<br>2015<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Optimistic<\/td><td><strong>62%<\/strong><\/td><td>64%<\/td><td>62%<\/td><td>65%<\/td><td>65%<\/td><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><td><em>55%<\/em><\/td><td><em>69%<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Pessimistic<\/td><td><strong>34%<\/strong><\/td><td>29%<\/td><td>29%<\/td><td>27%<\/td><td>30%<\/td><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><td><em>39%<\/em><\/td><td><em>25%<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Neither<\/td><td><strong>2%<\/strong><\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>4%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><td><em>3%<\/em><\/td><td><em>4%<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Don\u2019t know<\/td><td><strong>2%<\/strong><\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>6%<\/td><td>5%<\/td><td>2%<\/td><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><td><em>3%<\/em><\/td><td><em>2%<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>(n)<\/em><em><\/em><\/td><td><strong><em>(742)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><td><em>(739)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(743)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(754)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(827)<\/em><\/td><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><td><em>(803)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(829)<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><em>2016 QUESTION WORDING:<\/em><em> <\/em><em>Thinking about the 2016 election, do you feel optimistic or pessimistic about electing a new president?<\/em><em><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"Question39\" class=\"wp-block-mu-question\"><p class=\"question\"><span class=\"question-number\">39.<\/span> <span class=\"question-text\">Compared to past elections, are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as past elections?<\/span><\/p>\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td>TREND: <em>REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em><\/td><td><strong>June<br>2020<\/strong><\/td><td>May<br>2020<\/td><td>April<br>2020<\/td><td>March<br>2020<\/td><td>Feb.<br>2020<\/td><td><em>2016:<\/em><\/td><td><em>Aug.<br>2016*<\/em><\/td><td><em>June<br>2015*<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>More enthusiastic<\/td><td><strong>28%<\/strong><\/td><td>26%<\/td><td>23%<\/td><td>30%<\/td><td>39%<\/td><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><td><em>21%<\/em><\/td><td><em>21%<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Less enthusiastic<\/td><td><strong>24%<\/strong><\/td><td>21%<\/td><td>17%<\/td><td>17%<\/td><td>21%<\/td><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><td><em>46%<\/em><\/td><td><em>22%<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>About the same<\/td><td><strong>47%<\/strong><\/td><td>52%<\/td><td>59%<\/td><td>52%<\/td><td>40%<\/td><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><td><em>31%<\/em><\/td><td><em>57%<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Don\u2019t know<\/td><td><strong>0%<\/strong><\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><td><em>2%<\/em><\/td><td><em>1%<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>(n)<\/em><em><\/em><\/td><td><strong><em>(742)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><td><em>(739)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(743)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(754)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(827)<\/em><\/td><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><td><em>(803)<\/em><\/td><td><em>(829)<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><em>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; *Asked about the 2016 Presidential election<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>[<em>B1-B7 previously released.<\/em>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>[<em>NOTE: <\/em><em>QUESTIONS<\/em><em> B8-B10 WERE ONLY ASKED 5\/29-6\/1; n=696, m.o.e= +\/-3.7%<\/em>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"QuestionB8\" class=\"wp-block-mu-question\"><p class=\"question\"><span class=\"question-number\">B8.<\/span> <span class=\"question-text\">Will race relations be a major factor, minor factor, or not a factor in your vote for president this year?<\/span><\/p>\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td><em>REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em><\/td><td><strong>June<br>2020<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Major factor<\/td><td><strong>33%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Minor factor<\/td><td><strong>17%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Not a factor<\/td><td><strong>49%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Don\u2019t know<\/td><td><strong>1%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>(n)<\/em><em><\/em><\/td><td><strong><em>(696)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>[<em>QUESTIONS B9 &amp; B10 WERE ROTATED<\/em>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"QuestionB9\" class=\"wp-block-mu-question\"><p class=\"question\"><span class=\"question-number\">B9.<\/span> <span class=\"question-text\">How much confidence do you have in Donald Trump\u2019s ability to handle race relations \u2013 a great deal, some, not much, or none at all?<\/span><\/p>\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td><em>REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em><\/td><td><strong>June<br>2020<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Great deal<\/td><td><strong>22%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Some<\/td><td><strong>18%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Not much<\/td><td><strong>10%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>None at all<\/td><td><strong>50%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Don\u2019t know<\/td><td><strong>0%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>(n)<\/em><em><\/em><\/td><td><strong><em>(696)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"QuestionB10\" class=\"wp-block-mu-question\"><p class=\"question\"><span class=\"question-number\">B10.<\/span> <span class=\"question-text\">How much confidence do you have in Joe Biden\u2019s ability to handle race relations \u2013 a great deal, some, not much, or none at all?<\/span><\/p>\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td><em>REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em><\/td><td><strong>June<br>2020<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Great deal<\/td><td><strong>17%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Some<\/td><td><strong>35%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Not much<\/td><td><strong>17%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>None at all<\/td><td><strong>29%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Don\u2019t know<\/td><td><strong>2%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>(n)<\/em><em><\/em><\/td><td><strong><em>(696)<\/em><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>[Q<em>40-57 held for future release.<\/em>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>METHODOLOGY<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <em>Monmouth University Poll<\/em> was sponsored and conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute from May 28 to June 1, 2020 with a national random sample of 807 adults age 18 and older, in English.&nbsp;This includes 279 contacted by a live interviewer on a landline telephone and 528 contacted by a live interviewer on a cell phone.&nbsp;The results in this poll release are based on a subsample of 742 registered voters. Telephone numbers were selected through random digit dialing and landline respondents were selected with a modified Troldahl-Carter youngest adult household screen. Monmouth is responsible for all aspects of the survey design, data weighting and analysis. The full sample is weighted for region, age, education, gender and race based on US Census information (ACS 2018 one-year survey).&nbsp;Data collection support provided by Braun Research (field) and Dynata (RDD sample).&nbsp;For results based on the registered voter sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling has a maximum margin of plus or minus 3.6 percentage points (unadjusted for sample design).&nbsp;Sampling error can be larger for sub-groups (see table below).&nbsp;In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td><em>DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:right\"><em>REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em> <em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>29% Republican<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>38% Independent<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>33% Democrat<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>48% Male<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>52% Female<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>26% 18-34<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>21% 35-49<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>30% 50-64<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>22% 65+<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>65% White<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>13% Black<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>16% Hispanic<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>&nbsp; 6% Asian\/Other<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>68% No degree<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>32% 4 year degree<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>Click on pdf file link below for full methodology and crosstabs by key demographic groups.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Increase in views that outbreak is hurting Trump<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":40802246551,"template":"","geography":[18],"class_list":["post-40802246550","poll","type-poll","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","geography-national"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll\/40802246550","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/poll"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll\/40802246550\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40802246563,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll\/40802246550\/revisions\/40802246563"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/40802246551"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40802246550"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"geography","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/geography?post=40802246550"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}