{"id":40802245874,"date":"2020-03-16T05:00:00","date_gmt":"2020-03-16T09:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/?post_type=poll&p=40802245874"},"modified":"2020-03-15T14:30:22","modified_gmt":"2020-03-15T18:30:22","slug":"monmouthpoll_az_031620","status":"publish","type":"poll","link":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/reports\/monmouthpoll_az_031620\/","title":{"rendered":"State Takes on a Purple Hue; Partisans Divided Over Coronavirus"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

West Long Branch, NJ<\/em> \u2013\nArizona\u2019s Electoral College votes could be in play in November, according to a Monmouth\n<\/em><\/strong>(<\/em><\/strong>\u201cMon-muth\u201d<\/em><\/strong>) <\/em><\/strong>University Poll<\/em><\/strong> of\nregistered voters in the state. Joe Biden has a slight lead over President\nDonald Trump, while Bernie Sanders is basically tied with the incumbent. In\ntomorrow\u2019s Democratic primary election, Biden has a 20 point lead over Sanders.\nThe poll also finds that the Arizona U.S. Senate race could start off with a\nDemocratic edge as well, with Mark Kelly having a 6 point lead against Martha\nMcSally. In other poll results, a majority of Arizona voters are concerned\nabout coronavirus hitting their family, but the level of concern varies widely\nby party affiliation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Among Arizona voters who are\nconsidered likely to participate in the Democratic primary for president,\nsupport currently stands at 51% for Biden and 31% for Sanders. Tulsi Gabbard is\nbacked by just 1% and candidates who have dropped out of the race also get\nsupport from early voters, including Mike Bloomberg (5%), Elizabeth Warren\n(3%), Pete Buttigieg (3%), and Amy Klobuchar (1%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sanders actually leads Biden among\nLatino voters (48% to 41%) and voters under 50 years old (56% to 28%), but this\nis more than offset by Biden\u2019s strong advantage among larger voter blocs,\nincluding white voters (55% to 26%) and those aged 50 and over (64% to\n16%).  Just over half of likely Arizona\nprimary voters report having already cast their ballots.  Biden has a 50% to 27% lead over Sanders\namong this group.  Among those yet to\nvote, the race stands at 51% Biden and 36% Sanders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cBiden has a strong advantage going\ninto the primary. This is because much of his support has already been banked\nin the early vote. The closure of many polling places due to COVID-19 means it\nis uncertain how many voters who planned to vote on Tuesday will actually show\nup,\u201d said Patrick Murray, director of\nthe independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking at hypothetical general\nelection matchups for November, Biden holds a small 46% to 43% edge over Trump,\nwhile the incumbent leads Sanders by 44% to 43%. Trump beat Hillary Clinton in\nArizona by 4 points in 2016\u2019s election. The difference between Biden and\nSanders against Trump seems to be down to what 2016 Clinton voters will do in\n2020.  Trump holds on to 86% of his 2016\nvoters against Biden (who gets 8% of them) and 87% of his 2016 voters against\nSanders (who gets 6% of them). Among 2016 Clinton voters, 90% will support\nBiden (to 4% for Trump), but only 80% will support Sanders (to 7% for Trump).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cImpressions of the Democratic\nnominee will shift once the general election campaign gets under way, but Biden\nwould start off by putting Arizona within reach,\u201d said Murray.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Turning to the hotly contested U.S.\nSenate race, Democrat Kelly holds a small 50% to 44% lead over incumbent\nRepublican McSally in a hypothetical matchup in November\u2019s special election.\nMcSally leads among men (53% to 42%) while Kelly leads among women (57% to\n36%). McSally is running to complete the final two years of the late Sen. John\nMcCain\u2019s term. She was appointed to the post after she lost the election for\nArizona\u2019s other senate seat in 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Monmouth University Poll<\/em> also finds that a majority of Arizona\nvoters are either very (21%) or somewhat (32%) concerned about someone in their\nfamily becoming seriously ill from the coronavirus.  Another 28% are not too concerned and 19% are\nnot at all concerned. Even though the new coronavirus virus is expected to\nimpact older people more, voters aged 65 or over (50%) are less concerned about\nthe impact than those under 35 years old (62%). Perhaps more interestingly,\nRepublicans (41%) and independents (47%) are less concerned about a family\nmember getting ill from COVID-19 than Democrats (75%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cEarly claims that the emerging\npandemic was being politicized may be leading the public to see all aspects of\nthis situation through a partisan lens. And that lens seems to extend to the\npossibility of contracting the virus itself,\u201d said Murray.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

About half the state\u2019s voters (49%)\nsay the federal government has done a good job handling the outbreak, while 43%\nsay it has done a bad job. Similarly, 49% say Trump has done a good job handling\nthe outbreak, while 46% say he has done a bad job. Arizona voters are split on\nthe impact of the president\u2019s televised Oval Office address on Wednesday. Just\nunder one-fourth (23%) say it made them feel more confident in his\nadministration\u2019s ability to deal with the outbreak while slightly more (29%)\nsay it made them feel less confident. Another 36% say his address did not\nchange their level of confidence and 10% were not aware of it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Arizona voters are divided on\nthe president\u2019s handling of the COVID-19 situation, overall opinion of him is\nunderwater. Currently, 41% have a favorable view of Trump and 50% hold an\nunfavorable opinion, with another 10% offering no opinion. Voters are split on\ntheir opinion of the Democratic front-runner. Biden has a 36% favorable and 38%\nunfavorable rating among state voters, but 1 in 4 (26%) have no opinion of him.\nVoter opinion of Sanders is decidedly negative at 31% favorable and 47%\nunfavorable, with 22% having no opinion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For the U.S. Senate contenders,\nchallenger Kelly has a decidedly positive rating of 41% favorable and just 17%\nunfavorable, although 42% of Arizona voters have no opinion of him. McSally, on\nthe other hand, holds a divided 35% favorable and 39% unfavorable rating, with\n26% having no opinion of her. The incumbent does slightly better on her job\nrating, with 42% of voters approving and 39% disapproving of the job she is\ndoing as U.S. senator.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On other issues, the poll finds\nthat most (56%) Arizona voters say their family\u2019s current financial situation\nis stable, while 23% say it is improving and 18% say they are struggling. About\n3 in 10 (29%) say the federal government\u2019s actions over the past three years\nhave helped their financial situation, 16% say those actions have hurt them,\nand 53% say the federal government has had no impact on their finances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On the issue of health care, 39% of\nthe public would prefer a system that allows people to opt into Medicare or\nkeep their private coverage, while 19% would keep the system private but\nregulate the costs, and 25% would keep the health insurance system as it is\nnow. Just 12% want to switch to a universal system that gets rid of all private\ninsurance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As to immigration policy, 45% of\nArizona voters support building a wall along the U.S. border with Mexico and\n50% oppose this. There is a huge partisan divide on this issue \u2013 88% of\nRepublicans support a border wall and 87% of Democrats oppose it. More\nindependents oppose (56%) rather than support (37%) building a border wall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Monmouth University Poll<\/em> was conducted by\ntelephone from March 11 to 14, 2020 with 847 Arizona\nregistered voters. The question results in this release based on all\nregistered voters have a margin of error of +\/- 3.4 percentage points. Results\nbased on 373 voters who are likely to vote in the Democratic presidential primary on\nMarch 17, 2020 have a margin of error of +\/- 5.1 percentage points.  The\npoll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long\nBranch, NJ.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

QUESTIONS AND RESULTS                                                              <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

(* Some columns may not add to 100% due\nto rounding.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[Q1 WAS ASKED OF LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY\nVOTERS.] <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

1.<\/span> If the Democratic primary election for president was today, would you vote for Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, or Tulsi Gabbard? [NAMES WERE ROTATED<\/em>] [If UNDECIDED:<\/em> If you had to vote for one of these candidates at this moment, who do you lean toward?] [Note: voters who already returned an early\/absentee ballot were read a list of seven candidate names.]<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n
DEM PRIMARY VOTERS <\/em>
(with leaners)<\/em> <\/td>		\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Joe Biden\n <\/td>\n 51%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Bernie Sanders\n <\/td>\n 31%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Tulsi Gabbard\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Elizabeth\n Warren<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 3%<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Mike\n Bloomberg<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 5%<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Amy\n Klobuchar<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Pete\n Buttigieg<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 3%<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL)\n Other<\/em>\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Undecided\n <\/td>\n 5%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n     (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (373)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

[Q2 WAS ASKED OF LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY\nVOTERS.] <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

2.<\/span> When thinking about who you are supporting in the Democratic primary, how much of a factor is beating Donald Trump in November \u2013 is it more important than any policy issue you are concerned with, about as important as your top policy concern, or less important than your top policy concern?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n DEM PRIMARY VOTERS<\/em>\n <\/td>\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n More important\n <\/td>\n 63%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n About as important\n <\/td>\n 26%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Less important\n <\/td>\n 9%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Don’t know\n <\/td>\n 2%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n       (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (373)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

[THE FOLLOWING QUESTIONS WERE ASKED OF ALL\nREGISTERED VOTERS.<\/em>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Now,\nlooking ahead to November\u2019s general election\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[QUESTIONS 3A & 3B WERE ROTATED<\/em>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

3A.<\/span> Who would you vote for if the candidates for president were Donald Trump the Republican and Joe Biden the Democrat? [NAMES WERE ROTATED<\/em>]<\/span><\/p>\n
\n ALL REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em>\n <\/td>\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Donald Trump \n <\/td>\n 43%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Joe Biden \n <\/td>\n 46%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Other candidate\n <\/td>\n 3%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Would not vote\n <\/td>\n 2%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Undecided\n <\/td>\n 6%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n       (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (847)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

3B.<\/span> Who would you vote for if the candidates for president were Donald Trump the Republican and Bernie Sanders the Democrat? [NAMES WERE ROTATED<\/em>]<\/span><\/p>\n
\n ALL REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em>\n <\/td>\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Donald Trump \n <\/td>\n 44%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Bernie Sanders\n <\/td>\n 43%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Other candidate\n <\/td>\n 4%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Would not vote\n <\/td>\n 3%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Undecided\n <\/td>\n 6%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n       (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (847)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

4.<\/span> If the election for U.S. Senate was today, would you vote for Martha McSally the Republican or Mark Kelly the Democrat? [NAMES WERE ROTATED<\/em>] <\/strong>[If UNDECIDED:<\/em> If you had to vote for one of the following candidates at this moment, who do you lean toward \u2013 Martha McSally or Mark Kelly?]<\/span><\/p>\n
ALL REGISTERED VOTERS <\/em>
(with leaners)<\/em> <\/td>		\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Martha\n McSally \n <\/td>\n 44%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Mark\n Kelly \n <\/td>\n 50%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Other candidate\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Will not vote for Senate  \n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Undecided\n <\/td>\n 4%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n       (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (847)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

Regardless\nof who you may support for president\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[QUESTIONS 5\/6\/7 WERE ROTATED<\/em>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

5.<\/span> Is your general impression of Donald Trump favorable or unfavorable, or do you have no opinion of him? \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n
\n ALL REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em>\n <\/td>\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Favorable\n <\/td>\n 41%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Unfavorable\n <\/td>\n 50%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n No opinion   \n <\/td>\n 10%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n       (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (847)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

6.<\/span> Is your general impression of Joe Biden favorable or unfavorable, or do you have no opinion of him?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n ALL REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em>\n <\/td>\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Favorable\n <\/td>\n 36%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Unfavorable\n <\/td>\n 38%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n No opinion   \n <\/td>\n 26%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n       (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (847)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

7.<\/span> Is your general impression of Bernie Sanders favorable or unfavorable, or do you have no opinion of him?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n ALL REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em>\n <\/td>\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Favorable\n <\/td>\n 31%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Unfavorable\n <\/td>\n 47%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n No opinion   \n <\/td>\n 22%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n       (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (847)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

Turning to\nthe Senate race\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[QUESTIONS 8 & 9 WERE ROTATED<\/em>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

8.<\/span> Is your general impression of Martha McSally favorable or unfavorable, or do you have no opinion of her? \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n
\n ALL REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em>\n <\/td>\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Favorable\n <\/td>\n 35%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Unfavorable\n <\/td>\n 39%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n No opinion   \n <\/td>\n 26%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n       (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (847)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

9.<\/span> Is your general impression of Mark Kelly favorable or unfavorable, or do you have no opinion of him?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n ALL REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em>\n <\/td>\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Favorable\n <\/td>\n 41%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Unfavorable\n <\/td>\n 17%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n No opinion   \n <\/td>\n 42%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n       (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (847)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

10.<\/span> Do you approve or disapprove of the job Martha McSally is doing as U.S. senator?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n ALL REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em>\n <\/td>\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Approve\n <\/td>\n 42%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Disapprove\n <\/td>\n 39%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) No opinion\n <\/td>\n 18%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n       (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (847)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

11.<\/span> Thinking about your current financial situation, would you say you are struggling to remain where you are financially, basically stable in your current financial situation, or is your financial situation improving?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n ALL REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em>\n <\/td>\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Struggling\n <\/td>\n 18%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Stable\n <\/td>\n 56%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Improving\n <\/td>\n 23%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Don\u2019t know\n <\/td>\n 3%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n       (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (847)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

12.<\/span> Have the actions of the federal government over the past three years helped, hurt, or had no real impact on your financial situation?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n ALL REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em>\n <\/td>\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Helped\n <\/td>\n 29%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Hurt\n <\/td>\n 16%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n No\n real impact\n <\/td>\n 53%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Don\u2019t know\n <\/td>\n 2%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n       (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (847)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

13.<\/span> Do you favor or oppose building a wall along the U.S. border with Mexico?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n ALL REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em>\n <\/td>\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Favor\n <\/td>\n 45%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Oppose\n <\/td>\n 50%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Don\u2019t know\n <\/td>\n 5%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n       (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (847)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

14.<\/span> Which of the following comes closest to how you would like to see health care handled:\u00a0 A. get rid of all private insurance coverage in favor of having everyone on a single public plan like Medicare for All, B. allow people to either opt into Medicare or keep their private coverage, C. keep health insurance private for people under age 65 but regulate the costs, or D. keep the health insurance system basically as it is?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n ALL REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em>\n <\/td>\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n A. get rid of all\n private insurance coverage in favor of \u2026 Medicare for All\n <\/td>\n 12%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n B. allow people to either opt into Medicare\n or keep their private coverage  \n <\/td>\n 39%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n C.\n keep health insurance private for people under age 65 but regulate the costs\n <\/td>\n 19%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n D.\n keep the health insurance system basically as it is\n <\/td>\n 25%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Don\u2019t know\n <\/td>\n 4%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n       (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (847)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

[Note: Questions 15A-D were only asked 3\/12-3\/14; n=604, m.o.e. = +\/-4.0%<\/em>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

15A.<\/span> How concerned are you about someone in your family becoming seriously ill from coronavirus \u2013 very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not at all concerned?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n ALL REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em>\n <\/td>\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Very concerned\n <\/td>\n 21%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Somewhat concerned\n <\/td>\n 32%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Not too concerned\n <\/td>\n 28%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Not at all concerned\n <\/td>\n 19%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Don\u2019t know\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n       (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (604)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

15B.<\/span> Has the federal government done a good job or bad job handling the coronavirus outbreak?\u00a0 [Is that very or somewhat good\/bad?]<\/span><\/p>\n
\n ALL REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em>\n <\/td>\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Very good\n <\/td>\n 24%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Somewhat good\n <\/td>\n 25%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Somewhat bad\n <\/td>\n 15%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Very bad\n <\/td>\n 28%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Don\u2019t know\n <\/td>\n 8%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n       (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (604)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

15C.<\/span> Has Donald Trump done a good job or bad job handling the coronavirus outbreak?\u00a0 [Is that very or somewhat good\/bad?]<\/span><\/p>\n
\n ALL REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em>\n <\/td>\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Very good\n <\/td>\n 28%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Somewhat good\n <\/td>\n 21%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Somewhat bad\n <\/td>\n 12%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Very bad\n <\/td>\n 34%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Don\u2019t know\n <\/td>\n 5%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n       (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (604)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

15D.<\/span> Did Donald Trump\u2019s televised address to the nation on Wednesday night make you feel more confident or less confident in his administration\u2019s ability to deal with the coronavirus outbreak, or didn\u2019t it change your level of confidence?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n ALL REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em>\n <\/td>\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n More confident\n <\/td>\n 23%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Less confident\n <\/td>\n 29%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Did not change\n <\/td>\n 36%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Not aware of his address\n <\/td>\n 10%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Don\u2019t know\n <\/td>\n 2%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n       (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (604)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

16.<\/span> In the 2016 election for president did you vote for Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, another candidate, or did you not vote for president? [Note: \u201cDid not vote\u201d response was corrected for validated turnout from voter file.]<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n
\n ALL REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em>\n <\/td>\n March
\n 2020<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Donald Trump\n <\/td>\n 39%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Hillary Clinton\n <\/td>\n 34%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Other\n <\/td>\n 9%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Did not vote\n <\/td>\n 10%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) No answer\n <\/td>\n 7%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n       (n)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n (847)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

METHODOLOGY<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Monmouth\nUniversity Poll<\/em> was sponsored and conducted by the Monmouth University\nPolling Institute from March 11 to 14, 2020 with\na statewide random sample of 847 Arizona voters drawn from a list of registered\nvoters who participated in a primary or general election in the 2016 or 2018\nelection cycles or have registered to vote since November 2018. This\nincludes 197 contacted by a live\ninterviewer on a landline telephone and 650 contacted\nby a live interviewer on a cell phone, in English. Monmouth is responsible for\nall aspects of the survey design, data weighting and analysis. The full sample\nis weighted for party registration, age, gender, race, education, and region\nbased on state voter registration list information and U.S. Census information\n(CPS 2018 supplement). Data collection support provided by Braun Research\n(field) and Aristotle (voter sample). For results based on the full voter sample,\none can say with 95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling has a\nmaximum margin of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points (unadjusted for sample\ndesign). Results based on the sub-sample of 373 likely Democratic primary\nvoters have a maximum margin of plus or minus 5.1 percentage points. Sampling\nerror can be larger for sub-groups (see table below). In addition to\nsampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical\ndifficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the\nfindings of opinion polls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
ALL REGISTERED VOTERS<\/em> <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Party\n Registration<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 35% Republican<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 33% Independent, other<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 32% Democrat<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Self-Reported\n Party<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 33% Republican<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 36% Independent<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 31% Democrat<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 49% Male<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 51% Female<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 15% 18-34<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 20% 35-49<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 28% 50-64<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 36% 65+<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 77% White,\n non-Hispanic<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 17%\n Hispanic<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n   7% Other race<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 60% No\n degree<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 40% 4 year\n degree<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Self-Reported\n Party<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 0% Republican<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 20% Independent<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 80% Democrat<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 44% Male<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 56% Female<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 17% 18-34<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 21% 35-49<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 26% 50-64<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 36% 65+<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 65% White,\n non-Hispanic<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 24%\n Hispanic<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 11% Other\n race<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 60% No\n degree<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 40% 4 year\n degree<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n

Click\non pdf file link below for full methodology and crosstabs by key demographic\ngroups.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kelly leads McSally in Senate race<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":40802245896,"template":"","geography":[54],"class_list":["post-40802245874","poll","type-poll","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","geography-arizona"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll\/40802245874","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/poll"}],"version-history":[{"count":12,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll\/40802245874\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40802245911,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll\/40802245874\/revisions\/40802245911"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/40802245896"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40802245874"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"geography","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/geography?post=40802245874"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}