{"id":40802241578,"date":"2019-06-12T13:00:00","date_gmt":"2019-06-12T17:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/?post_type=poll&p=40802241578"},"modified":"2020-03-06T14:55:24","modified_gmt":"2020-03-06T19:55:24","slug":"monmouthpoll_nv_061219","status":"publish","type":"poll","link":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/reports\/monmouthpoll_nv_061219\/","title":{"rendered":"Biden, Warren, Sanders Lead 2020 Field"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

West Long Branch, NJ<\/em> \u2013\nFormer Vice President Joe Biden is the front-runner among likely Democratic\ncaucusgoers in Nevada while Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren takes second\nplace, just ahead of Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders. The first Monmouth\nUniversity Poll<\/em><\/strong> of Silver State Democrats in the 2020 cycle finds that\nWarren has a particularly positive rating in Nevada compared to her standing\nelsewhere.  Health care tops the list of\nconcerns for Democratic voters, but the poll finds that immigration is more of\na factor for choosing a nominee in Nevada than it is in other early\nstates.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

In a field\nof 24 candidates, Biden holds a clear lead with 36% support among registered\nDemocrats and unaffiliated voters who are likely to attend the February 2020\nNevada caucuses. He is followed by Warren at 19%, Sanders at 13%, South Bend\nMayor Pete Buttigieg at 7%, and California Sen. Kamala Harris at 6%. Other\ncandidates registering at least 1% in the poll are former Texas Rep. Beto\nO\u2019Rourke (2%), New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker (2%), entrepreneur Andrew Yang (2%),\nformer cabinet secretary Juli\u00e1n Castro (1%), Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (1%),\nMinnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar (1%), and author Marianne Williamson (1%).  The remaining 12 candidates earn less than 1%\nor were not chosen by any respondents in the poll.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Biden maintains a strong lead among voters who consider themselves moderate or conservative \u2013 47% support him compared to 11% for Warren, 9% for Sanders, 6% for Harris, and 4% for Buttigieg.  Biden also leads Warren among somewhat<\/em> liberal voters but by a narrower margin of 31% to 24%, with Buttigieg coming in at 12%, Sanders at 8%, and Harris at 5% among this group. Among very<\/em> liberal voters, though, the contest is between Warren (27%) and Sanders (26%), with Biden garnering just 19% along with Harris at 7% and Buttigieg at 7%.  Very liberal voters make up about one-quarter of likely caucusgoers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

About 1-in-5 voters (21%) say 2020 will be the first Democratic caucus they participate in.  Among these first time caucusgoers, nearly half (48%) prefer Biden, with 16% supporting Sanders, 6% for Buttigieg, and 4% each for Warren and Harris.  Among those who have attended a Nevada caucus in the past, 33% support Biden, 23% are for Warren, 12% for Sanders, and 7% each for Harris and Buttigieg.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The race appears to be only somewhat tighter among Latino voters for Biden (27%), Sanders (19%), and Warren (11%), followed by O\u2019Rourke at 6% and Yang at 5%.  A sizable 20% of Latino voters do not have a candidate preference at this time.  It is important to note, though, that this subsample has a larger margin of error that ranges from 7 to 10 percentage points for the top three candidates.  Among white non-Hispanic voters, Biden leads Warren 37% to 23%, with Sanders at 13%, Buttigieg at 10%, and Harris at 5%.  Among all other voters, the majority of whom are African-American, Biden has a clear lead of 42% with Harris (14%), Warren (12%), and Sanders (6%) trailing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \u201cNevada is the first state on the Democrats\u2019\n2020 calendar with an ethnically diverse electorate.  Latino voters seem to be particularly up for\ngrabs right now,\u201d said Patrick Murray,\ndirector of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The top\nissues that Nevada Democrats are thinking about in choosing a presidential\nnominee are health care (41%), followed by environmental concerns (17% climate\nchange and 7% environment in general), immigration (19%), jobs (17%),\nreproductive rights (15%), and beating Trump (14%).  Other issues that are important to voters\ninclude education (8%), civil rights (8%), income inequality (8%), foreign\npolicy (7%), social security (5%), competence and experience (5%), taxes (5%),\nhonesty and integrity (5%), gun control (4%), and a number of other issues\nnamed by 3% or less.  Immigration and the\ncombination of jobs and income inequality are more important issues for Nevada\nDemocrats than they are in other early states polled by Monmouth.  Specifically, immigration is named as a top\nissue by 19% in Nevada, compared to 9% in New Hampshire last month and 14% in\nIowa two months ago.  Jobs and income\ninequality are named by 25% in Nevada, compared to 15% in New Hampshire last\nmonth and 15% in Iowa two months ago. \nHealth care has been the top issue mentioned in all three states \u2013 41%\nNevada, 41% New Hampshire, and 51% Iowa \u2013 while climate change and the\nenvironment have also been important for Democrats in all three states \u2013 24%\nNevada, 24% New Hampshire, 29% Iowa.  In\nNevada, health care is the top concern for all demographic groups except Latino\nvoters, for whom immigration (37%) and health care (37%) are equally mentioned\nas a top issue in their choice of a presidential nominee.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Monmouth University Poll<\/em>\nasked caucusgoers to rate 24 announced candidates in the race.  Biden holds the most positive\nrating at 78% favorable to 13% unfavorable. \nHowever, the ratings for Warren (70% to 11%) and Harris (67% to 9%) are\nnearly as strong. Other relatively well-known candidates include Sanders (65%\nto 20%), Booker (61% to 9%), O\u2019Rourke (54% to 16%), Buttigieg (56% to 8%), New\nYork Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (38% to 16%), and Klobuchar (43% to 10%). New\nYork City Mayor Bill de Blasio is well-known but has a net negative rating of\n25% favorable to 33% unfavorable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n 2020 DEMOCRATIC FIELD
\n NEVADA PARTY VOTER OPINION<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Total w\/ opinion\n <\/td>\n  \n <\/td>\n Net rating<\/em>\n <\/td>\n Favorable\n <\/td>Unfavorable <\/td><\/tr>
\n 91\n <\/td>\n Joe Biden\n <\/td>\n +65<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 78\n <\/td>\n 13\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 85\n <\/td>\n Bernie Sanders\n <\/td>\n +45<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 65\n <\/td>\n 20\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 81\n <\/td>\n Elizabeth Warren\n <\/td>\n +59<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 70\n <\/td>\n 11\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 76\n <\/td>\n Kamala Harris\n <\/td>\n +58<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 67\n <\/td>\n 9\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 70\n <\/td>\n Cory Booker\n <\/td>\n +52<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 61\n <\/td>\n 9\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 70\n <\/td>\n Beto O\u2019Rourke\n <\/td>\n +38<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 54\n <\/td>\n 16\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 64\n <\/td>\n Pete Buttigieg\n <\/td>\n +48<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 56\n <\/td>\n 8\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 58\n <\/td>\n Bill de Blasio\n <\/td>\n \u20138<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 25\n <\/td>\n 33\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 54\n <\/td>\n Kirsten Gillibrand\n <\/td>\n +22<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 38\n <\/td>\n 16\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 53\n <\/td>\n Amy Klobuchar\n <\/td>\n +33<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 43\n <\/td>\n 10\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 47\n <\/td>\n Juli\u00e1n Castro\n <\/td>\n +27<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 37\n <\/td>\n 10\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 41\n <\/td>\n Tulsi Gabbard\n <\/td>\n +15<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 28\n <\/td>\n 13\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 38\n <\/td>\n Eric Swalwell\n <\/td>\n +18<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 28\n <\/td>\n 10\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 38\n <\/td>\n John Hickenlooper\n <\/td>\n +10<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 24\n <\/td>\n 14\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 36\n <\/td>\n Jay Inslee\n <\/td>\n +18<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 27\n <\/td>\n 9\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 32\n <\/td>\n Andrew Yang\n <\/td>\n +8<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 20\n <\/td>\n 12\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 30\n <\/td>\n Michael Bennet\n <\/td>\n +14<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 22\n <\/td>\n 8\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 29\n <\/td>\n Tim Ryan\n <\/td>\n +3<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 16\n <\/td>\n 13\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 28\n <\/td>\n Steve Bullock\n <\/td>\n +4<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 16\n <\/td>\n 12\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 22\n <\/td>\n John Delaney\n <\/td>\n +2<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 12\n <\/td>\n 10\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 18\n <\/td>\n Seth Moulton\n <\/td>\n +2<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 10\n <\/td>\n 8\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 18\n <\/td>\n Marianne Williamson\n <\/td>\n +2<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 10\n <\/td>\n 8\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 18\n <\/td>\n Mike Gravel\n <\/td>\n \u20134<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 7\n <\/td>\n 11\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 14\n <\/td>\n Wayne Messam\n <\/td>\n \u20134<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 5\n <\/td>\n 9\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td>\n  \n <\/td>\n  \n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n

Warren has\nsignificantly better ratings in Nevada than in other places Monmouth has\npolled. Her net positive +59 rating (70% favorable to 11% unfavorable) is\nbetter than she did among Democrats in a May 2019 New Hampshire poll (+39, 63%\nto 24%) and an April 2019 Iowa poll (+47, 67% to 20%), as well as a May 2019\nnational poll (+46, 60% to 14%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cNevada\u2019s\nhighly unionized service sector workforce may be a good fit for Warren\u2019s policy\nplatform when you look at the Democratic electorates in the four early states.\nHowever, she is nowhere near the top tier in terms of candidate preferences\namong Latino and black voters, who make up a significant part of the party\u2019s\nbase here,\u201d said Murray.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Others who\nreceive relatively more positive ratings in Nevada than they have elsewhere in\nMonmouth\u2019s polling include Harris and Booker, as well as Castro (+27, 37% to\n10%), California Rep. Eric Swalwell (+18, 28% to 10%), Washington Gov. Jay\nInslee (+18, 27% to 9%), and Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet (+14, 22% to 8%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The overwhelming majority (64%) of likely Democratic voters in Nevada say they prefer a nominee who would be a strong candidate against Trump even if they disagree with that candidate on most issues. If they were forced to choose, just 25% say they would favor a Democratic candidate who they are aligned with on the issues even if that person would have a hard time beating Trump.  While beating Trump at the ballot box is a priority for most Nevada Democrats, only 29% say it is very important to them that the party nominates someone who supports impeaching Trump now. Another 25% say it is somewhat important, 38% say it is not an important consideration, and 8% are not sure.  Nearly half of likely caucusgoers (44%) say that nominating someone who will build on former President Barack Obama\u2019s legacy is very important to them. Another 34% say it is somewhat important, 16% say it is not important, and 5% are unsure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Democratic\nactivists have been trying to move the party to the left on both health care\nand the environment.  Half of likely\ncaucusgoers (51%) say it is very important to them that the party nominates\nsomeone who supports \u201cMedicare for All.\u201d Another 29% say this is somewhat\nimportant, 10% say it is not important, and 9% are not sure.  About 1-in-3 likely caucusgoers (34%) say it\nis very important to them that the party nominates someone who supports the\n\u201cGreen New Deal.\u201d Another 35% say this is somewhat important, 14% say it is not\nimportant, and 17% are not sure. Poll findings on the importance of these\nissues are very similar to the results of Monmouth polls of likely New\nHampshire primary voters and likely Iowa caucusgoers conducted in the past two\nmonths.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Monmouth University Poll<\/em>\nwas conducted by telephone from June 6 to 11, 2019 with 370 Nevada voters who are likely to attend the Democratic\npresidential caucuses in February 2020, out of 1,333 registered\nDemocrats and unaffiliated voters who were contacted for the poll.  The question results in this release have a\nmargin of error of +\/- 5.1 percentage points.  The poll was conducted by\nthe Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

QUESTIONS AND RESULTS<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

(* Some columns may not add to 100% due\nto rounding.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1.<\/span> If the Democratic\ncaucuses for president were today, would you support \u2013 [NAMES WERE ROTATED]?\u00a0 [If UNDECIDED: If you had to support\none of these candidates at this moment, who do you lean toward?]<\/span><\/p>\n
(with leaners)<\/em> <\/td>\n June
\n 2019<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Joe Biden\n <\/td>\n 36%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Elizabeth Warren\n <\/td>\n 19%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Bernie Sanders\n <\/td>\n 13%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Pete Buttigieg\n <\/td>\n 7%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Kamala Harris\n <\/td>\n 6%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Cory Booker\n <\/td>\n 2%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Beto O\u2019Rourke\n <\/td>\n 2%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Andrew Yang\n <\/td>\n 2%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Juli\u00e1n Castro\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Tulsi Gabbard\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Amy Klobuchar\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Marianne Williamson\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Steve Bullock\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n John Hickenlooper\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Jay Inslee\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Wayne Messam\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Tim\n Ryan\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Michael\n Bennet\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Bill\n de Blasio\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n John Delaney \n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Kirsten Gillibrand\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Mike\n Gravel\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Seth\n Moulton\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Eric\n Swalwell\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) No one \n \n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Undecided\n <\/td>\n 8%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (n)<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

2.<\/span> And who would be your second choice?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n  \n <\/td>\n June
\n 2019<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Elizabeth Warren\n <\/td>\n 15%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Bernie Sanders\n <\/td>\n 14%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Joe Biden\n <\/td>\n 13%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Kamala Harris\n <\/td>\n 13%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Pete Buttigieg\n <\/td>\n 9%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Cory Booker\n <\/td>\n 3%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Beto O\u2019Rourke\n <\/td>\n 3%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Tulsi Gabbard\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Kirsten Gillibrand\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Jay Inslee\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Amy Klobuchar\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Andrew Yang\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Michael Bennet\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Juli\u00e1n Castro\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Bill de Blasio\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Eric Swalwell\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Steve Bullock\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n John Delaney \n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Mike Gravel\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n John Hickenlooper\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Wayne\n Messam\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Seth\n Moulton\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Tim Ryan\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Marianne Williamson\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Other\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) No one \n \n <\/td>\n 9%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Undecided\n <\/td>\n 13%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (n)<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

3.<\/span> I\u2019m going to read you the names of some people who are running for president in 2020.\u00a0 Please tell me if your general impression of each is favorable or unfavorable, or if you don\u2019t really have an opinion. If you have not heard of the person, just let me know. [NAMES WERE ROTATED<\/em>] <\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n
\n  \n <\/td>\n Favorable<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n Unfavorable<\/strong>\n <\/td> No<\/strong>
opinion<\/strong> <\/td>		 Not <\/strong>
heard of<\/strong> <\/td>		\n (n)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Former Vice President\n Joe Biden\n <\/td>\n 78%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 13%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 7%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 2%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Vermont Senator Bernie\n Sanders\n <\/td>\n 65%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 20%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 12%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 3%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Massachusetts Senator\n Elizabeth Warren\n <\/td>\n 70%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 11%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 11%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 7%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Former Texas\n Congressman Beto O\u2019Rourke\n <\/td>\n 54%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 16%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 18%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 12%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n California Senator\n Kamala Harris\n <\/td>\n 67%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 9%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 14%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 10%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Minnesota Senator Amy\n Klobuchar \n <\/td>\n 43%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 10%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 24%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 23%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n South Bend, Indiana\n Mayor Pete Buttigieg \n <\/td>\n 56%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 8%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 20%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 15%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n New Jersey Senator\n Cory Booker\n <\/td>\n 61%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 9%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 18%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 12%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n New York Senator\n Kirsten Gillibrand \n <\/td>\n 38%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 16%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 28%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 18%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Former cabinet\n secretary Juli\u00e1n Castro\n <\/td>\n 37%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 10%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 30%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 22%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Former Maryland\n Congressman John Delaney \n <\/td>\n 12%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 10%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 39%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 39%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Former Colorado\n Governor John Hickenlooper\n <\/td>\n 24%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 14%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 31%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 31%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Hawaii Congresswoman\n Tulsi Gabbard\n <\/td>\n 28%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 13%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 27%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 32%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Washington Governor\n Jay Inslee\n <\/td>\n 27%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 9%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 32%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 33%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Entrepreneur Andrew\n Yang\n <\/td>\n 20%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 12%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 30%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 38%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Author Marianne\n Williamson\n <\/td>\n 10%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 8%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 29%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 54%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Miramar, Florida Mayor\n Wayne Messam\n <\/td>\n 5%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 9%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 28%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 58%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Former Alaska Senator\n Mike Gravel\n <\/td>\n 7%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 11%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 32%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 50%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Ohio Congressman Tim\n Ryan\n <\/td>\n 16%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 13%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 35%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 36%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Massachusetts\n Congressman Seth Moulton\n <\/td>\n 10%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 8%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 31%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 51%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n California Congressman\n Eric Swalwell\n <\/td>\n 28%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 10%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 29%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 33%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Montana Governor Steve\n Bullock\n <\/td>\n 16%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 12%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 36%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 36%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Colorado Senator\n Michael Bennet\n <\/td>\n 22%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 8%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 34%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 36%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n New York City Mayor\n Bill de Blasio\n <\/td>\n 25%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 33%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 28%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 14%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

4.<\/span> Which type of candidate would you prefer if you had to make a choice between: a Democrat you agree with on most issues but would have a hard time beating Donald Trump or a Democrat you do NOT agree with on most issues but would be a stronger candidate against Donald Trump? [CHOICES WERE ROTATED<\/em>]<\/span><\/p>\n
\n  \n <\/td> June<\/strong>
2019<\/strong> <\/td><\/tr>
\n Agrees with but hard time beating Trump\n <\/td>\n 25%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Do\n not agree with but stronger against Trump\n <\/td>\n 64%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL)\n Rejects choice \/ no need to pick between two\n <\/td>\n 8%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Don\u2019t know\n <\/td>\n 3%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (n)<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

5.<\/span> What are the one or two most important issues to you in deciding who to support for the Democratic nomination? [LIST WAS NOT READ<\/em>]<\/span><\/p>\n

[Note: Results add to more than 100% because multiple responses were\naccepted<\/em>] <\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n
\n
\n \n <\/td>		 June<\/strong>
2019<\/strong> <\/td><\/tr>
\n Jobs, unemployment\n <\/td>\n 17%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Bills, food, groceries\n <\/td>\n 2%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n College tuition, school costs\n <\/td>\n 3%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Health care\n <\/td>\n 41%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Social Security, seniors\n <\/td>\n 5%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Taxes\n <\/td>\n 5%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Climate change, global warming\n <\/td>\n 17%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Environment, pollution\n <\/td>\n 7%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Opioids, drug use<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Safety,\n crime<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Guns, gun control\n <\/td>\n 4%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Terrorism, national security\n <\/td>\n 2%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Immigration\n <\/td>\n 19%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Schools, education\n <\/td>\n 8%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Civil rights\n <\/td>\n 8%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Reproductive rights, women\n <\/td>\n 15%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Honesty, integrity\n <\/td>\n 5%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Competence, experience\n <\/td>\n 5%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Income inequality, wages\n <\/td>\n 8%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Infrastructure\n <\/td>\n 3%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Foreign policy, world standing\n <\/td>\n 7%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Balance budget\n <\/td>\n 3%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Donald\n Trump, beating Trump\n <\/td>\n 14%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Other\n <\/td>\n 4%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Don\u2019t\n know\n <\/td>\n 4%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (n)<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

[QUESTIONS 6-8 WERE ROTATED<\/em>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

6.<\/span> How important is it to you that the Democrats nominate someone who supports the Green New Deal \u2013 very important, somewhat important, not important, or are you not sure?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n  \n <\/td>June<\/strong>
2019<\/strong> <\/td><\/tr>
\n Very important\n <\/td>\n 34%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Somewhat\n important\n <\/td>\n 35%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Not\n important\n <\/td>\n 14%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Not sure\n <\/td>\n 17%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (n)<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

7.<\/span> How important is it to you that the Democrats nominate someone who supports Medicare for All \u2013 very important, somewhat important, not important, or are you not sure?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n  \n <\/td>June<\/strong>
2019<\/strong> <\/td><\/tr>
\n Very important\n <\/td>\n 51%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Somewhat\n important\n <\/td>\n 29%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Not\n important\n <\/td>\n 10%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Not sure\n <\/td>\n 9%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (n)<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

8.<\/span> How important is it to you that the Democrats nominate someone who supports impeaching Donald Trump \u2013 very important, somewhat important, not important, or are you not sure?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n  \n <\/td>June<\/strong>
2019<\/strong> <\/td><\/tr>
\n Very important\n <\/td>\n 29%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Somewhat\n important\n <\/td>\n 25%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Not\n important\n <\/td>\n 38%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Not sure\n <\/td>\n 8%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (n)<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

9.<\/span> How important is it to you that the Democrats nominate someone who will build on the legacy of Barack Obama \u2013 very important, somewhat important, not important, or are you not sure?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n  \n <\/td>June<\/strong>
2019<\/strong> <\/td><\/tr>
\n Very important\n <\/td>\n 44%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Somewhat\n important\n <\/td>\n 34%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Not\n important\n <\/td>\n 16%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Not sure\n <\/td>\n 5%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (n)<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

10.<\/span> Will this be your first presidential caucus or have you attended the Nevada presidential caucuses in the past? [If ATTENDED:<\/em> Was that a Republican or a Democratic caucus, or both?]<\/span><\/p>\n
\n  \n <\/td>June<\/strong>
2019<\/strong> <\/td><\/tr>
\n First caucus\n <\/td>\n 19%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Attended\n Rep caucus\n <\/td>\n 2%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Attended\n Dem caucus\n <\/td>\n 73%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Attended\n both\n <\/td>\n 4%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Don\u2019t know\n <\/td>\n 2%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (n)<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (370)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

METHODOLOGY<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Monmouth\nUniversity Poll<\/em> was sponsored and conducted by the Monmouth University\nPolling Institute from June 6 to 11, 2019 with a\nstatewide random sample of 1,333 Nevada voters drawn from a list of registered\nDemocratic and unaffiliated voters who participated in a primary election in\nthe past two election cycles or voted in both the 2016 and 2018 general\nelections or have registered to vote\nsince November 2018. Results are based on 370 voters who are likely to attend\nthe Democratic presidential caucuses in February 2020. This\nincludes 131 contacted by a live interviewer on a landline telephone and 239\ncontacted by a live interviewer on a cell phone, in English and Spanish. Monmouth\nis responsible for all aspects of the survey design, data weighting and\nanalysis. Final sample is weighted for age, gender, race, party registration, and\neducation based on state voter registration list and U.S. Census information.\nData collection support provided by Braun Research (field) and Aristotle (voter\nsample). For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that\nthe error attributable to sampling has a maximum margin of plus or minus 5.1\npercentage points (unadjusted for sample design). Sampling error can be larger\nfor sub-groups (see table below). In addition to sampling error, one\nshould bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in\nconducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion\npolls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
Party Registration<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
\n 86% Democrat<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 14% None<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 45% Male<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 55% Female<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 13% 18-34<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 27% 35-49<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 29% 50-64<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 31% 65+<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 60% White,\n non-Hispanic<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 20% Hispanic<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 13% Black<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n   5% Asian<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n   2% Other<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 53% No\n college degree<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 47%\n College graduate<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n

Click on pdf file link below for full methodology and crosstabs by key demographic groups.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Immigration joins healthcare and environment as top issues for Nevada Dems<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":40802241581,"template":"","geography":[63],"class_list":["post-40802241578","poll","type-poll","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","geography-nevada"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll\/40802241578","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/poll"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll\/40802241578\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40802245799,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll\/40802241578\/revisions\/40802245799"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/40802241581"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40802241578"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"geography","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/geography?post=40802241578"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}