{"id":40802239646,"date":"2019-05-09T12:00:00","date_gmt":"2019-05-09T16:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/?post_type=poll&p=40802239646"},"modified":"2019-07-22T15:36:18","modified_gmt":"2019-07-22T19:36:18","slug":"monmouthpoll_nh_050919","status":"publish","type":"poll","link":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/reports\/monmouthpoll_nh_050919\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump Bigger Factor than Obama for 2020 Dem Primary Voters"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

West Long Branch, NJ<\/em> \u2013\nFormer Vice President Joe Biden is the clear front-runner for New Hampshire\u2019s\nfirst-in-the-nation Democratic primary, according to the first Monmouth\nUniversity Poll<\/em><\/strong> of Granite State primary voters in the 2020 cycle.  One-third of voters say that finding a\ncandidate who will carry on former President Barack Obama\u2019s legacy is very\nimportant to them and there is little difference in levels of candidate support by\nthe importance voters place on Obama\u2019s legacy. On the other hand, two-thirds of primary voters point to finding a nominee who can beat\nPresident Donald Trump as more important to them than agreement on the issues. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

In a field\nof 24 announced and potential candidates, Biden holds a clear lead with 36%\nsupport of registered Democrats and unaffiliated voters who are likely to\nparticipate in the February 2020 primary. He is followed by Vermont Sen. Bernie\nSanders at 18%. Other contenders include South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg (9%),\nMassachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren (8%), and California Sen. Kamala Harris\n(6%). Registering at least 1% in the poll are former Texas Rep. Beto O\u2019Rourke\n(2%), Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar (2%), New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker (2%),\nformer Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper (1%), Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan (1%), and\nentrepreneur Andrew Yang (1%).  The\nremaining 13 candidates earn less than 1% or were not chosen by any respondents\nin the poll.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Biden does especially well among voters aged 65 and older, garnering 53% support with this group compared to only 9% for Sanders. The former vice president also bests Sanders by 36% to 19% among those aged 50 to 64, but he trails the Vermont senator by 20% to 27% among voters under the age of 50.  Biden tops Sanders by 45% to 10% among self-described moderates and conservatives, but he lags by 23% to 29% among liberals.  A majority of likely Democratic primary voters (58%) describe themselves as moderates or conservatives in New Hampshire, a state that allows unaffiliated voters to participate in either party\u2019s primary.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \u201cAs other polls have shown, Biden officially\nenters the race as a clear front-runner. He is the preferred candidate of\nvoters who want someone to take up Obama\u2019s mantle but it does not seem that\nthis is a decisive factor right now,\u201d said Patrick\nMurray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Biden\u2019s\nentry has raised the question of what role his former boss, President Barack\nObama, will play in the race. One-third of likely Democratic voters in New\nHampshire (34%) say that nominating someone who will build on Obama\u2019s legacy is\nvery important to them. Another 38% say it is somewhat important, 21% say it is\nnot important, and 7% are unsure. \nLiberals (40%) are more likely than moderates (29%) and women (41%) are\nmore likely than men (24%) to prefer a nominee who is seen as following in\nObama\u2019s footsteps. There does not appear to be a definitive \u201cObama lane\u201d in\nthis race, but Biden holds the lead with voters who say the former president\u2019s\nlegacy is a factor. Among those who say Obama is very important, 39% currently support\nBiden while 15% support Sanders, followed by Buttigieg (10%), Harris (9%),\nWarren (8%), Booker (3%), and Klobuchar (3%). \nAmong those who say Obama\u2019s legacy is somewhat important, 39% support\nBiden to 20% for Sanders, followed by Buttigieg (9%), Warren (8%), and Harris\n(5%).  Among those who say it is not\nimportant or have no opinion on the importance of Obama\u2019s legacy, 30% support\nBiden and 19% back Sanders, followed by Warren (10%), Buttigieg (7%), Harris (5%),\nand O\u2019Rourke (3%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWhile\nDemocrats may have positive feelings about Obama, the current White House\noccupant is a much more significant factor in the 2020 primary. In fact, it\nreally isn\u2019t an either-or calculation. Voters who value Obama\u2019s legacy say the\nbest way to preserve it is to beat Trump in 2020,\u201d said Murray<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The overwhelming majority (68%) of likely Democratic voters prefer to have a nominee who would be a strong candidate against Trump even if they disagree with that candidate on most issues. If they were forced to choose, just 25% say they would favor a Democratic candidate who they are aligned with on the issues even if that person would have a hard time beating Trump.  Among those who say having a nominee that builds on Obama\u2019s legacy is very important to them, 79% prioritize beating Trump while just 15% say they want a candidate who they agree with on the issues even if he or she would be weaker against the incumbent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Biden\ngarners somewhat more support among voters who prioritize beating Trump (39%)\nthan he does among those who are looking for issue alignment in their nominee\n(32%). Sanders, on the other hand, does much better with \u201cissue\u201d voters (33%)\nthan \u201celectability\u201d voters (13%).  Harris\ndoes slightly better with electability voters (8%) than issue voters (4%).  There are no significant differences in\nsupport for other candidates between these two types of voters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While\nbeating Trump at the ballot box is a priority for most New Hampshire Democratic\nprimary voters, just 20% say it is very important to them that the party nominates\nsomeone who supports impeaching Trump now. Another 18% say it is somewhat\nimportant, while most say it is not an important consideration (54%) or are not\nsure (7%).  It\u2019s worth noting, though,\nthat among those who say a nominee who supports impeaching Trump is very\nimportant to them, 49% back Biden. Biden recently said that Congress would have\nto pursue impeachment if Trump blocked their investigation of issues arising\nfrom the Mueller report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Monmouth University Poll<\/em>\nalso asked voters to rate 22 announced and 2 potential candidates in the race. Biden holds\nthe most positive rating at 80% favorable to 15% unfavorable.  Sanders also has a strong rating at 73% to\n19%. Warren, New Hampshire\u2019s other neighboring-state senator in the field, has\nthe third highest favorability rating in the field at 63%, but also has one of\nthe highest unfavorable ratings at 24%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n 2020 DEMOCRATIC FIELD
\n NEW HAMPSHIRE PARTY VOTER OPINION<\/strong><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Total\n w\/ opinion\n <\/td>\n  \n <\/td>\n Net rating<\/em>\n <\/td>\n Favorable\n <\/td> Unfavorable <\/td><\/tr>
\n 95\n <\/td>\n Joe Biden\n <\/td>\n +65<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 80\n <\/td>\n 15\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 92\n <\/td>\n Bernie Sanders\n <\/td>\n +54<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 73\n <\/td>\n 19\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 87\n <\/td>\n Elizabeth Warren\n <\/td>\n +39<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 63\n <\/td>\n 24\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 70\n <\/td>\n Kamala Harris\n <\/td>\n +50<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 60\n <\/td>\n 10\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 66\n <\/td>\n Cory Booker\n <\/td>\n +42<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 54\n <\/td>\n 12\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 61\n <\/td>\n Pete Buttigieg\n <\/td>\n +47<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 54\n <\/td>\n 7\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 61\n <\/td>\n Beto O\u2019Rourke\n <\/td>\n +29<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 45\n <\/td>\n 16\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 55\n <\/td>\n Amy Klobuchar\n <\/td>\n +33<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 44\n <\/td>\n 11\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 52\n <\/td>\n Kirsten Gillibrand\n <\/td>\n +18<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 35\n <\/td>\n 17\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 48\n <\/td>\n Bill de Blasio\n <\/td>\n \u201310<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 19\n <\/td>\n 29\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 43\n <\/td>\n Juli\u00e1n Castro\n <\/td>\n +17<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 30\n <\/td>\n 13\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 36\n <\/td>\n Tulsi Gabbard\n <\/td>\n +10<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 23\n <\/td>\n 13\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 34\n <\/td>\n Seth Moulton\n <\/td>\n +6<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 20\n <\/td>\n 14\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 33\n <\/td>\n John Hickenlooper\n <\/td>\n +11<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 22\n <\/td>\n 11\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 25\n <\/td>\n Andrew Yang\n <\/td>\n \u20133<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 11\n <\/td>\n 14\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 24\n <\/td>\n John Delaney\n <\/td>\n +4<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 14\n <\/td>\n 10\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 24\n <\/td>\n Jay Inslee\n <\/td>\n +6<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 15\n <\/td>\n 9\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 23\n <\/td>\n Eric Swalwell\n <\/td>\n +7<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 15\n <\/td>\n 8\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 20\n <\/td>\n Tim Ryan\n <\/td>\n 0<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 10\n <\/td>\n 10\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 19\n <\/td>\n Michael Bennet\n <\/td>\n +5<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 12\n <\/td>\n 7\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 16\n <\/td>\n Marianne Williamson\n <\/td>\n \u20134<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 6\n <\/td>\n 10\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 13\n <\/td>\n Steve Bullock\n <\/td>\n +1<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 7\n <\/td>\n 6\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 13\n <\/td>\n Mike Gravel\n <\/td>\n \u20135<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 4\n <\/td>\n 9\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 11\n <\/td>\n Wayne Messam\n <\/td>\n \u20135<\/em>\n <\/td>\n 3\n <\/td>\n 8\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td>\n  \n <\/td>\n  \n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n

Biden has\nsomewhat better ratings among moderates (83% to 12%) than he does among\nliberals (75% to 20%). He also has stronger ratings among voters aged 65 and\nolder (89% to 7%) and those aged 50 to 64 (80% to 14%) than he does among those\nunder 50 years old (70% to 24%).  Sanders\nis viewed significantly more positively among liberals (86% to 12%) than he is\namong moderates (64% to 25%). Warren does about as well as Sanders among\nliberals (82% to 11%) but does worse among moderates (50% to 34%).  Warren also has one of the largest\nincome-based differences in her ratings of any Democrat in the field. Among primary\nvoters earning less than $50,000 a year, she earns a healthy 72% favorable to\n10% unfavorable rating. That gap narrows to 61% favorable and 26% unfavorable\namong those earning between $50,000 and $100,000 and to 59% favorable and 34%\nunfavorable among those with annual incomes over $100,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Other relatively well-known candidates include Harris (60% favorable to 10% unfavorable), Booker (54% to 12%), Buttigieg (54% to 7%), O\u2019Rourke (45% to 16%), Klobuchar (44% to 11%), New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (35% to 17%), and former Obama administration cabinet secretary Juli\u00e1n Castro (30% to 13%). Also, as-yet-undeclared candidate New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio has a net negative net rating of 19% favorable to 29% unfavorable, making him the only contender with a higher negative rating than Warren. No more than one-third of likely caucusgoers are able to offer an opinion of the remaining 13 candidates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Comparing these New Hampshire results to a Monmouth poll of likely Iowa caucusgoers conducted last month finds that O\u2019Rourke is less well-known and gets lower positive ratings in the Granite State (45% favorable to 16% unfavorable) than he does in the Hawkeye State (60% to 13%). Massachusetts Rep. Seth Moulton is better-known and better-liked in New Hampshire (20% to 14%) than he was in Iowa one month ago (5% to 6%). Former Maryland Rep. John Delaney is not as well-known or well-liked in New Hampshire (14% to 10%) as he is in Iowa (31% to 12%).  Differences in ratings between the two states for the other Democratic candidates are generally within the margin of error.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The top\nissue that New Hampshire Democrats are thinking about in choosing a\npresidential nominee is health care (41%), followed by environmental concerns\n(12% climate change and 12% environment in general), honesty and integrity (13%),\nand beating Trump (11%).  Other issues\nthat are important to voters include immigration (9%), education (9%), jobs\n(9%), Social Security (7%), paying for college (6%), taxes (6%), competence and\nexperience (6%), income inequality (6%), civil rights (6%), foreign policy\n(6%), reproductive rights (5%), gun control (4%), and a number of other issues\nnamed by 3% or less.  Health care is the\ntop concern in all demographic groups. \nHowever, the combination of honesty and beating Trump (24% overall), is\nmore important for voters aged 65 and older (34%) or 50 to 64 years old (27%)\nthan it is for voters under 50 years old (10%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Democratic\nactivists have been trying to move the party to the left on both health care\nand the environment.  Nearly half of\nlikely voters (48%) say it is very important to them that the party nominates\nsomeone who supports \u201cMedicare for All.\u201d Another 31% say this is somewhat\nimportant, 14% say it is not important, and 7% are not sure.  Fewer than 3-in-10 likely voters (28%) say it\nis very important to them that the party nominates someone who supports the\n\u201cGreen New Deal.\u201d Another 36% say this is somewhat important, 17% say it is not\nimportant, and 19% are not sure. Poll findings on the importance of these\nissues are very similar to the results of a Monmouth poll of likely Iowa\ncaucusgoers conducted last month. Among those who say Medicare for All is very\nimportant, 29% support Biden and 27% support Sanders. Among those who say the\nGreen New Deal is very important it is the same \u2013 29% support Biden and 27%\nsupport Sanders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAs in\nIowa, New Hampshire Democrats are focused on health care.  If this becomes a defining issue in the early\ncontests, it could boost Sanders or another contender who is currently in the\nback of the pack,\u201d said Murray.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Monmouth University Poll<\/em>\nwas conducted by telephone from May 2 to 7, 2019 with 376 New Hampshire voters who are likely to vote in the\nDemocratic presidential primary in February 2020, out of 987\nregistered voters that were contacted for the poll. The\nquestion results in this release have a margin of error of +\/- 5.1 percentage\npoints. The poll was\nconducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

QUESTIONS AND RESULTS                                                                         <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

(* Some columns may not add to 100% due\nto rounding.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1.<\/span> If the Democratic primary election for president was today, would you vote for [NAMES WERE ROTATED<\/em>]?\u00a0 [If UNDECIDED:<\/em> If you had to vote for one of these candidates at this moment, who do you lean toward?]<\/span><\/p>\n
\n (with leaners)<\/em>\n <\/td>\n May
\n 2019<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Joe Biden\n <\/td>\n 36%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Bernie Sanders\n <\/td>\n 18%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Pete Buttigieg\n <\/td>\n 9%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Elizabeth Warren\n <\/td>\n 8%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Kamala Harris\n <\/td>\n 6%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Cory Booker\n <\/td>\n 2%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Amy Klobuchar\n <\/td>\n 2%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Beto O\u2019Rourke\n <\/td>\n 2%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n John Hickenlooper\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Tim Ryan\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Andrew Yang\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Steve Bullock\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n John Delaney\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Tulsi Gabbard\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Kirsten Gillibrand\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Marianne Williamson\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Michael Bennet\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Juli\u00e1n Castro\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Bill de Blasio\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Mike Gravel\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Jay Inslee\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Wayne Messam\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Seth Moulton\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Eric Swalwell\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) No one\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL)\n Undecided\n <\/td>\n 11%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (n)<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

2.<\/span> And who would be your second choice?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n  \n <\/td>\n May
\n 2019<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Elizabeth Warren\n <\/td>\n 15%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Kamala Harris\n <\/td>\n 12%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Joe Biden\n <\/td>\n 11%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Bernie Sanders\n <\/td>\n 11%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Pete Buttigieg\n <\/td>\n 9%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Cory Booker\n <\/td>\n 5%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Beto O\u2019Rourke\n <\/td>\n 4%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Amy Klobuchar\n <\/td>\n 3%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Bill de Blasio\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n John Delaney\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Kirsten Gillibrand\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n John Hickenlooper\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Andrew Yang\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Michael Bennet\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Juli\u00e1n Castro\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Jay Inslee\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Seth Moulton\n <\/td>\n <1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Steve Bullock\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Tulsi Gabbard\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Mike Gravel\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Wayne Messam\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Tim Ryan\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Eric Swalwell\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Marianne Williamson\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) No one\n <\/td>\n 5%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL)\n Undecided\n <\/td>\n 22%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (n)<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

3.<\/span> I\u2019m going to read you the names of some people who are running or might run for president in 2020.\u00a0 Please tell me if your general impression of each is favorable or unfavorable, or if you don\u2019t really have an opinion. If you have not heard of the person, just let me know. [NAMES WERE ROTATED<\/em>] <\/span><\/p>\n
\n  \n <\/td>\n Favorable\n <\/td> Unfavorable <\/td> No
opinion <\/td>		 Not
heard of <\/td>		\n (n)<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Former Vice President\n Joe Biden\n <\/td>\n 80%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 15%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 5%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Vermont Senator Bernie\n Sanders\n <\/td>\n 73%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 19%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 8%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Massachusetts Senator\n Elizabeth Warren\n <\/td>\n 63%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 24%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 11%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 2%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Former Texas\n Congressman Beto O\u2019Rourke\n <\/td>\n 45%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 16%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 24%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 15%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n California Senator\n Kamala Harris\n <\/td>\n 60%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 10%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 15%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 14%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Minnesota Senator Amy\n Klobuchar\n <\/td>\n 44%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 11%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 25%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 20%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n South Bend, Indiana\n Mayor Pete Buttigieg\n <\/td>\n 54%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 7%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 19%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 21%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n New Jersey Senator\n Cory Booker\n <\/td>\n 54%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 12%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 22%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 13%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand \n <\/td>\n 35%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 17%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 33%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 14%<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Former cabinet\n secretary Juli\u00e1n Castro\n <\/td>\n 30%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 13%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 36%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 21%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Former Maryland Congressman\n John Delaney\n <\/td>\n 14%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 10%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 45%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 31%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Former Colorado\n Governor John Hickenlooper\n <\/td>\n 22%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 11%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 35%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 31%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Hawaii Congresswoman\n Tulsi Gabbard\n <\/td>\n 23%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 13%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 31%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 33%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Washington Governor\n Jay Inslee\n <\/td>\n 15%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 9%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 35%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 41%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Entrepreneur Andrew\n Yang\n <\/td>\n 11%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 14%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 30%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 45%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Author Marianne\n Williamson\n <\/td>\n 6%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 10%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 27%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 56%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Miramar, Florida Mayor\n Wayne Messam\n <\/td>\n 3%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 8%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 28%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 61%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Former Alaska Senator\n Mike Gravel\n <\/td>\n 4%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 9%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 35%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 52%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Ohio Congressman Tim\n Ryan\n <\/td>\n 10%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 10%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 42%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 39%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Massachusetts\n Congressman Seth Moulton\n <\/td>\n 20%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 14%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 35%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 31%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n California Congressman\n Eric Swalwell\n <\/td>\n 15%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 8%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 31%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 46%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Montana Governor Steve\n Bullock\n <\/td>\n 7%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 6%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 35%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 53%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Colorado Senator Michael\n Bennet\n <\/td>\n 12%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 7%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 38%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 42%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n New York City Mayor\n Bill de Blasio\n <\/td>\n 19%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 29%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 39%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n 12%<\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  \n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

4.<\/span> Which type of candidate would you prefer if you had to make a choice between: a Democrat you agree with on most issues but would have a hard time beating Donald Trump or a Democrat you do NOT agree with on most issues but would be a stronger candidate against Donald Trump? [CHOICES WERE ROTATED] <\/em><\/span><\/p>\n
\n  \n <\/td>\n May
\n 2019<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Agrees with but hard time beating Trump\n <\/td>\n 25%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Do not agree with but stronger against Trump\n <\/td>\n 68%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL) Rejects choice \/ no need to pick\n between two\n <\/td>\n 3%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (VOL)\n Don\u2019t know\n <\/td>\n 4%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (n)<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

5.<\/span> What are the one or two most important issues to you in deciding who to support for the Democratic nomination? [LIST WAS NOT READ<\/em>]<\/span><\/p>\n

[Note: Results add to more than 100% because multiple responses were\naccepted<\/em>]  <\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n  \n <\/td>\n May
\n 2019<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Jobs, unemployment\n <\/td>\n 9%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Bills, food, groceries\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n College tuition, school costs\n <\/td>\n 6%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Health care\n <\/td>\n 41%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Social Security, seniors\n <\/td>\n 7%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Taxes\n <\/td>\n 6%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Climate change, global warming\n <\/td>\n 12%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Environment, pollution\n <\/td>\n 12%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Opioids, drug use\n <\/td>\n 2%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Safety, crime\n <\/td>\n 0%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Guns, gun control\n <\/td>\n 4%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Terrorism, national security\n <\/td>\n 1%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Immigration\n <\/td>\n 9%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Schools, education\n <\/td>\n 9%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Civil rights\n <\/td>\n 6%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Reproductive rights, women\n <\/td>\n 5%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Honesty, integrity\n <\/td>\n 13%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Competence, experience\n <\/td>\n 6%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Income inequality, wages\n <\/td>\n 6%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Infrastructure\n <\/td>\n 3%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Foreign policy, world standing\n <\/td>\n 6%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Balance budget\n <\/td>\n 2%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Donald Trump, beating Trump\n <\/td>\n 11%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Other\n <\/td>\n 5%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Don\u2019t\n know\n <\/td>\n 3%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (n)<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

[QUESTIONS 6-8 WERE ROTATED<\/em>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

6.<\/span> How important is it to you that the Democrats nominate someone who supports the Green New Deal \u2013 very important, somewhat important, not important, or are you not sure?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n  \n <\/td>\n May
\n 2019<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Very important\n <\/td>\n 28%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Somewhat important\n <\/td>\n 36%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Not important\n <\/td>\n 17%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Not sure\n <\/td>\n 19%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (n)<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

7.<\/span> How important is it to you that the Democrats nominate someone who supports Medicare for All \u2013 very important, somewhat important, not important, or are you not sure?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n  \n <\/td>\n May
\n 2019<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Very important\n <\/td>\n 48%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Somewhat important\n <\/td>\n 31%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Not important\n <\/td>\n 14%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Not sure\n <\/td>\n 7%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (n)<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

8.<\/span> How important is it to you that the Democrats nominate someone who supports impeaching Donald Trump \u2013 very important, somewhat important, not important, or are you not sure?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n  \n <\/td>\n May
\n 2019<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Very important\n <\/td>\n 20%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Somewhat important\n <\/td>\n 18%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Not important\n <\/td>\n 54%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Not sure\n <\/td>\n 7%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (n)<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

9.<\/span> How important is it to you that the Democrats nominate someone who will build on the legacy of Barack Obama \u2013 very important, somewhat important, not important, or are you not sure?<\/span><\/p>\n
\n  \n <\/td>\n May
\n 2019<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Very important\n <\/td>\n 34%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Somewhat important\n <\/td>\n 38%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Not important\n <\/td>\n 21%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Not sure\n <\/td>\n 7%<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n (n)<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td>\n (376)<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

METHODOLOGY<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Monmouth University Poll<\/em> was sponsored and conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute from May 2 to 7, 2019 with a statewide random sample of 987 New Hampshire voters drawn from a list of registered voters who participated in a primary election in the past two election cycles or voted in both the 2016 and 2018 general elections. Results are based on 376 voters who are likely to vote in the Democratic presidential primary in February 2020.\u00a0This includes 218 contacted by a live interviewer on a landline telephone and 158 contacted by a live interviewer on a cell phone, in English. Monmouth is responsible for all aspects of the survey design, data weighting and analysis. Final sample is weighted for party registration, age, gender, race, and education based on state voter registration list information and U.S. Census information. Data collection support provided by Braun Research (field) and Aristotle (voter sample). For results based on the sample of 376 likely Democratic primary voters, one can say with 95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling has a maximum margin of plus or minus 5.1 percentage points (unadjusted for sample design). Sampling error can be larger for sub-groups (see table below).\u00a0In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Party\n Registration<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 61% Democrat<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 38% None, other<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n Self-Reported\n Party<\/em><\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 50% Democrat<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 50% Other<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 42% Male<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 58% Female<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 15% 18-34<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 18% 35-49<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 33% 50-64<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 34% 65+<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 96% White,\n non-Hispanic<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n   4% Other race, Hispanic<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 42% No college\n degree<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n 58% College\n graduate<\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr>
\n  <\/em>\n <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n

Click on pdf file link below for full methodology and crosstabs by key demographic groups.<\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Biden clear front-runner; health care top issue<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":40802239649,"template":"","geography":[51],"class_list":["post-40802239646","poll","type-poll","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","geography-new-hampshire"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll\/40802239646","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/poll"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll\/40802239646\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40802242913,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll\/40802239646\/revisions\/40802242913"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/40802239649"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40802239646"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"geography","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/geography?post=40802239646"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}