{"id":40802207512,"date":"2015-06-17T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2015-06-17T04:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/reports\/monmouthpoll_us_061715\/"},"modified":"2019-05-17T15:19:35","modified_gmt":"2019-05-17T19:19:35","slug":"monmouthpoll_us_061715","status":"publish","type":"poll","link":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/reports\/monmouthpoll_us_061715\/","title":{"rendered":"Voters Optimistic for 2016"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>West Long Branch, NJ<\/em> &nbsp;&#8211; American voters are looking forward to electing a new president in 2016, according to the <strong><em>Monmouth University Poll<\/em><\/strong> .&nbsp; However, they differ on which candidates vying for the White House are held in the highest esteem.&nbsp; The only contender who arouses solid bi-partisan opinion is the latest entrant to the field, Donald Trump.&nbsp; Unfortunately for him, that opinion is largely negative.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More than 2-in-3 (69%) American voters say they feel optimistic about the 2016 election and just 25% are pessimistic.&nbsp; Fully, 81% of Republicans, 70% of Democrats, and 60% of independents feel optimistic about electing a new president.&nbsp; Most voters (57%) say they feel about the same amount of enthusiasm for the upcoming race as they did in past elections.&nbsp; The remainder are split between feeling either more enthusiastic (21%) or less enthusiastic (22%).&nbsp; Republicans are slightly more (27%) rather than less (15%) enthusiastic, while Democrats are slightly less (27%) rather than more (17%) enthusiastic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The poll also asked voters their opinion of eight presidential contenders &#8211; six Republicans and two Democrats.&nbsp; Of this group, only Florida Senator Marco Rubio earns a net positive rating.&nbsp; Donald Trump, who threw his hat into the ring yesterday, has the highest negatives.&nbsp; Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush does slightly better than former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton among independent voters, but Clinton is better positioned than Bush in the presidential swing states &#8211; the ten states where the margin of victory in the 2012 election was less than seven percentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Donald Trump earns an 18% favorable and 57% unfavorable rating among American voters.&nbsp; He is the only candidate in the field where there is little partisan* difference in these ratings &#8211; 65% of Democrats, 56% of independents, and 50% of Republicans all have an unfavorable opinion of Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Donald Trump takes pride in doing things big.&nbsp; Well, that certainly describes the negative ratings he gets from voters,&#8221; said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute based in West Long Branch, NJ.&nbsp; Murray added, &#8220;While the Republican field has no clear front-runner, Marco Rubio seems to be in the best position right now to use the electability argument to his advantage.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Marco Rubio gets a narrow net positive rating of 31% favorable and 27% unfavorable from American voters.&nbsp; Of the eight candidates tested in the poll, Rubio performs the best with independent voters &#8211; garnering a 33% favorable and 22% unfavorable rating.&nbsp; He is also competitive in the so-called swing states, earning a 29% favorable to 28% unfavorable rating from voters in those crucial states.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jeb Bush, who announced his candidacy on Monday, earns a net negative rating of 26% favorable and 46% unfavorable among American voters, including a 25% favorable and 44% unfavorable rating among independents.&nbsp; He also does the worst of any candidate tested in the poll &#8211; other than Trump &#8211; with swing state voters at 25% favorable and 49% unfavorable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Democratic front runner Hillary Clinton earns a 41% favorable and 44% unfavorable rating among American voters.&nbsp; She does worse than Bush among independent voters nationwide &#8211; 26% favorable and 55% unfavorable.&nbsp; However, she does comparatively better in the swing states at 38% favorable and 47% unfavorable.&nbsp; Clinton is the only candidate among the eight tested whose ratings show a sizable gender gap.&nbsp; Women voters give her a narrow positive rating of 45% favorable and 40% unfavorable, while men give her a decidedly negative rating of 36% favorable and 49% unfavorable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Among other candidates vying for the presidency, Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker performs relatively evenly with a 23% favorable to 25% unfavorable rating, although most voters still have no opinion of him.&nbsp; Walker gets a 24% favorable and 20% unfavorable rating among independents and a 24% favorable and 24% unfavorable rating among swing state voters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kentucky Senator Rand Paul earns a 26% favorable to 34% unfavorable rating and Texas Senator Ted Cruz gets a similar 25% favorable and 34% unfavorable rating.&nbsp; However, Paul does better among independents &#8211; 31% favorable and 27% unfavorable &#8211; than Cruz does &#8211; 24% favorable and 31% unfavorable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders earns a 15% favorable and 24% unfavorable rating overall, with 6-in-10 American voters having no opinion of the liberal stalwart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <em>Monmouth University Poll<\/em> &nbsp;was conducted by telephone from June 11 to 14, 2015 with 1,002 adults in the United States.&nbsp;&nbsp; This release is based on a sample of 829 registered voters.&nbsp; This voter sample has a margin of error of \u00b1 3.4 percent.&nbsp; The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>* &nbsp;Methodological note:&nbsp; The partisan breakdown for candidate ratings in this polling release differs slightly from the Monmouth University nomination contest polls released earlier in the week.&nbsp; This is due to the fact that the prior releases counted independent voters who lean toward a party as partisans.&nbsp; This release groups those &#8220;leaners&#8221; as independents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>The questions referred to in this release are as follows:<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>(* Some columns may not add to 100% due to rounding.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"Question1\" class=\"wp-block-mu-question\"><p class=\"question\"><span class=\"question-number\">1.<\/span> <span class=\"question-text\">Please tell me if your general impression of each of the following is favorable or unfavorable, or if you don\u2019t really have an opinion. [NAMES WERE ROTATED]<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton<\/p>\n\n\n\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>TOTAL<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"3\">PARTY ID<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"2\">GENDER<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"3\">AGE<\/td><td colspan=\"4\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\">2012 SWING STATE<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Rep<\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Ind<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Dem<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Male<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Female<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">18-34<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">35-54<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">55+<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Swing &lt;7%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Lean, 7-12%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Red, &gt;12%<\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Blue, &gt;12%<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Favorable<\/td><td><strong>41%<\/strong><\/td><td>12%<\/td><td>26%<\/td><td>83%<\/td><td>36%<\/td><td>45%<\/td><td>39%<\/td><td>42%<\/td><td>42%<\/td><td>38%<\/td><td>39%<\/td><td>36%<\/td><td>48%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Unfavorable<\/td><td><strong>44%<\/strong><\/td><td>73%<\/td><td>55%<\/td><td>8%<\/td><td>49%<\/td><td>40%<\/td><td>40%<\/td><td>44%<\/td><td>47%<\/td><td>47%<\/td><td>46%<\/td><td>49%<\/td><td>39%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>No opinion<\/td><td><strong>14%<\/strong><\/td><td>14%<\/td><td>19%<\/td><td>9%<\/td><td>14%<\/td><td>15%<\/td><td>21%<\/td><td>14%<\/td><td>11%<\/td><td>15%<\/td><td>16%<\/td><td>15%<\/td><td>13%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders<\/p>\n\n\n\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td><\/td><td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>TOTAL<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"3\">PARTY ID<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"2\">GENDER<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"3\">AGE<\/td><td colspan=\"4\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\">2012 SWING STATE<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Rep<\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Ind<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Dem<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Male<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Female<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">18-34<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">35-54<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">55+<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Swing, &lt;7%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Lean, 7-12%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Red, &gt;12%<\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Blue, &gt;12%<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Favorable<\/td><td><strong>15%<\/strong><\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>15%<\/td><td>26%<\/td><td>17%<\/td><td>14%<\/td><td>15%<\/td><td>14%<\/td><td>16%<\/td><td>16%<\/td><td>14%<\/td><td>15%<\/td><td>15%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Unfavorable<\/td><td><strong>24%<\/strong><\/td><td>27%<\/td><td>26%<\/td><td>18%<\/td><td>30%<\/td><td>18%<\/td><td>21%<\/td><td>22%<\/td><td>27%<\/td><td>20%<\/td><td>26%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>25%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>No opinion<\/td><td><strong>61%<\/strong><\/td><td>70%<\/td><td>59%<\/td><td>55%<\/td><td>53%<\/td><td>68%<\/td><td>64%<\/td><td>63%<\/td><td>57%<\/td><td>64%<\/td><td>60%<\/td><td>61%<\/td><td>60%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"Question2\" class=\"wp-block-mu-question\"><p class=\"question\"><span class=\"question-number\">2.<\/span> <span class=\"question-text\">Please tell me if your general impression of each of the following is favorable or unfavorable, or if you don\u2019t really have an opinion. [NAMES WERE ROTATED]<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush<\/p>\n\n\n\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>TOTAL<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"3\">PARTY ID<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"2\">GENDER<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"3\">AGE<\/td><td colspan=\"4\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\">2012 SWING STATE<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Rep<\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Ind<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Dem<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Male<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Female<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">18-34<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">35-54<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">55+<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Swing, &lt;7%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Lean, 7-12%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Red, &gt;12%<\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Blue, &gt;12%<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Favorable<\/td><td><strong>26%<\/strong><\/td><td>43%<\/td><td>25%<\/td><td>16%<\/td><td>28%<\/td><td>25%<\/td><td>19%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>34%<\/td><td>25%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>30%<\/td><td>27%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Unfavorable<\/td><td><strong>46%<\/strong><\/td><td>30%<\/td><td>44%<\/td><td>60%<\/td><td>49%<\/td><td>43%<\/td><td>51%<\/td><td>48%<\/td><td>41%<\/td><td>49%<\/td><td>43%<\/td><td>43%<\/td><td>47%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>No opinion<\/td><td><strong>28%<\/strong><\/td><td>27%<\/td><td>31%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>23%<\/td><td>32%<\/td><td>30%<\/td><td>28%<\/td><td>25%<\/td><td>26%<\/td><td>33%<\/td><td>27%<\/td><td>26%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>Texas Senator Ted Cruz<\/p>\n\n\n\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>TOTAL<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"3\">PARTY ID<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"2\">GENDER<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"3\">AGE<\/td><td colspan=\"4\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\">2012 SWING STATE<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Rep<\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Ind<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Dem<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Male<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Female<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">18-34<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">35-54<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">55+<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Swing, &lt;7%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Lean, 7-12%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Red, &gt;12%<\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Blue, &gt;12%<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Favorable<\/td><td><strong>25%<\/strong><\/td><td>48%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>8%<\/td><td>30%<\/td><td>22%<\/td><td>23%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>28%<\/td><td>29%<\/td><td>23%<\/td><td>31%<\/td><td>20%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Unfavorable<\/td><td><strong>34%<\/strong><\/td><td>16%<\/td><td>31%<\/td><td>53%<\/td><td>39%<\/td><td>30%<\/td><td>36%<\/td><td>32%<\/td><td>36%<\/td><td>31%<\/td><td>32%<\/td><td>34%<\/td><td>39%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>No opinion<\/td><td><strong>41%<\/strong><\/td><td>36%<\/td><td>45%<\/td><td>39%<\/td><td>31%<\/td><td>49%<\/td><td>42%<\/td><td>44%<\/td><td>37%<\/td><td>41%<\/td><td>45%<\/td><td>34%<\/td><td>41%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>Kentucky Senator Rand Paul<\/p>\n\n\n\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>TOTAL<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"3\">PARTY ID<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"2\">GENDER<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"3\">AGE<\/td><td colspan=\"4\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\">2012 SWING STATE<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Rep<\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Ind<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Dem<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Male<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Female<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">18-34<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">35-54<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">55+<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Swing, &lt;7%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Lean, 7-12%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Red, &gt;12%<\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Blue, &gt;12%<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Favorable<\/td><td><strong>26%<\/strong><\/td><td>36%<\/td><td>31%<\/td><td>11%<\/td><td>32%<\/td><td>21%<\/td><td>30%<\/td><td>25%<\/td><td>23%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>34%<\/td><td>29%<\/td><td>20%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Unfavorable<\/td><td><strong>34%<\/strong><\/td><td>27%<\/td><td>27%<\/td><td>48%<\/td><td>35%<\/td><td>32%<\/td><td>26%<\/td><td>32%<\/td><td>40%<\/td><td>31%<\/td><td>28%<\/td><td>30%<\/td><td>40%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>No opinion<\/td><td><strong>41%<\/strong><\/td><td>37%<\/td><td>42%<\/td><td>41%<\/td><td>34%<\/td><td>47%<\/td><td>43%<\/td><td>43%<\/td><td>37%<\/td><td>44%<\/td><td>38%<\/td><td>41%<\/td><td>39%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>Florida Senator Marco Rubio<\/p>\n\n\n\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>TOTAL<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"3\">PARTY ID<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"2\">GENDER<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"3\">AGE<\/td><td colspan=\"4\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\">2012 SWING STATE<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Rep<\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Ind<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Dem<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Male<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Female<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">18-34<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">35-54<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">55+<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Swing, &lt;7%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Lean, 7-12%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Red, &gt;12%<\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Blue, &gt;12%<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Favorable<\/td><td><strong>31%<\/strong><\/td><td>49%<\/td><td>33%<\/td><td>14%<\/td><td>36%<\/td><td>26%<\/td><td>25%<\/td><td>28%<\/td><td>36%<\/td><td>29%<\/td><td>29%<\/td><td>41%<\/td><td>27%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Unfavorable<\/td><td><strong>27%<\/strong><\/td><td>14%<\/td><td>22%<\/td><td>42%<\/td><td>31%<\/td><td>23%<\/td><td>27%<\/td><td>26%<\/td><td>28%<\/td><td>28%<\/td><td>29%<\/td><td>19%<\/td><td>29%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>No opinion<\/td><td><strong>42%<\/strong><\/td><td>37%<\/td><td>45%<\/td><td>44%<\/td><td>32%<\/td><td>52%<\/td><td>48%<\/td><td>46%<\/td><td>36%<\/td><td>44%<\/td><td>42%<\/td><td>40%<\/td><td>44%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>Businessman Donald Trump<\/p>\n\n\n\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>TOTAL<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"3\">PARTY ID<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"2\">GENDER<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"3\">AGE<\/td><td colspan=\"4\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\">2012 SWING STATE<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Rep<\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Ind<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Dem<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Male<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Female<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">18-34<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">35-54<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">55+<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Swing, &lt;7%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Lean, 7-12%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Red, &gt;12%<\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Blue, &gt;12%<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Favorable<\/td><td><strong>18%<\/strong><\/td><td>20%<\/td><td>20%<\/td><td>12%<\/td><td>17%<\/td><td>18%<\/td><td>20%<\/td><td>18%<\/td><td>16%<\/td><td>13%<\/td><td>19%<\/td><td>15%<\/td><td>22%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Unfavorable<\/td><td><strong>57%<\/strong><\/td><td>50%<\/td><td>56%<\/td><td>65%<\/td><td>58%<\/td><td>57%<\/td><td>56%<\/td><td>55%<\/td><td>60%<\/td><td>55%<\/td><td>52%<\/td><td>61%<\/td><td>60%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>No opinion<\/td><td><strong>25%<\/strong><\/td><td>30%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>22%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>25%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>27%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>32%<\/td><td>29%<\/td><td>23%<\/td><td>18%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker<\/p>\n\n\n\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>TOTAL<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"3\">PARTY ID<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"2\">GENDER<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"3\">AGE<\/td><td colspan=\"4\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\">2012 SWING STATE<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Rep<\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Ind<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Dem<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Male<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Female<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">18-34<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">35-54<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">55+<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Swing, &lt;7%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Lean, 7-12%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Red, &gt;12%<\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Blue, &gt;12%<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Favorable<\/td><td><strong>23%<\/strong><\/td><td>39%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>7%<\/td><td>27%<\/td><td>19%<\/td><td>14%<\/td><td>21%<\/td><td>29%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>22%<\/td><td>23%<\/td><td>22%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Unfavorable<\/td><td><strong>25%<\/strong><\/td><td>12%<\/td><td>20%<\/td><td>43%<\/td><td>30%<\/td><td>21%<\/td><td>20%<\/td><td>25%<\/td><td>29%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>27%<\/td><td>19%<\/td><td>29%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>No opinion<\/td><td><strong>52%<\/strong><\/td><td>49%<\/td><td>56%<\/td><td>50%<\/td><td>43%<\/td><td>60%<\/td><td>65%<\/td><td>53%<\/td><td>43%<\/td><td>53%<\/td><td>51%<\/td><td>58%<\/td><td>49%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"Question3\" class=\"wp-block-mu-question\"><p class=\"question\"><span class=\"question-number\">3.<\/span> <span class=\"question-text\">Thinking about the 2016 election, do you feel optimistic or pessimistic about electing a new president?<\/span><\/p>\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>TOTAL<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"3\">PARTY ID<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"2\">GENDER<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"3\">AGE<\/td><td colspan=\"4\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\">2012 SWING STATE<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Rep<\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Ind<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Dem<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Male<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Female<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">18-34<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">35-54<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">55+<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Swing, &lt;7%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Lean, 7-12%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Red, &gt;12%<\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Blue, &gt;12%<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Optimistic<\/td><td><strong>69%<\/strong><\/td><td>81%<\/td><td>60%<\/td><td>70%<\/td><td>66%<\/td><td>71%<\/td><td>69%<\/td><td>70%<\/td><td>67%<\/td><td>69%<\/td><td>61%<\/td><td>72%<\/td><td>71%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Pessimistic<\/td><td><strong>25%<\/strong><\/td><td>17%<\/td><td>31%<\/td><td>22%<\/td><td>25%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>26%<\/td><td>24%<\/td><td>29%<\/td><td>25%<\/td><td>23%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Neither<\/td><td><strong>4%<\/strong><\/td><td>0%<\/td><td>6%<\/td><td>6%<\/td><td>6%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>5%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>5%<\/td><td>4%<\/td><td>7%<\/td><td>2%<\/td><td>4%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Don\u2019t know<\/td><td><strong>2%<\/strong><\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>2%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>2%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>2%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>4%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>2%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"Question4\" class=\"wp-block-mu-question\"><p class=\"question\"><span class=\"question-number\">4.<\/span> <span class=\"question-text\">Compared to past elections, are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as past elections?<\/span><\/p>\n<table tabindex=\"0\" class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td rowspan=\"2\"><strong>TOTAL<\/strong><\/td><td colspan=\"3\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\">PARTY ID<\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"2\">GENDER<\/td><td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"3\">AGE<\/td><td colspan=\"4\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\">2012 SWING STATE<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Rep<\/p>\n<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Ind<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Dem<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Male<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Female<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">18-34<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">35-54<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">55+<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Swing, &lt;7%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Lean, 7-12%<\/td><td style=\"text-align: right\">Red, &gt;12%<\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\">Blue, &gt;12%<\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>More enthusiastic<\/td><td><strong>21%<\/strong><\/td><td>27%<\/td><td>20%<\/td><td>17%<\/td><td>20%<\/td><td>21%<\/td><td>23%<\/td><td>19%<\/td><td>20%<\/td><td>16%<\/td><td>22%<\/td><td>29%<\/td><td>19%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Less enthusiastic<\/td><td><strong>22%<\/strong><\/td><td>15%<\/td><td>19%<\/td><td>27%<\/td><td>18%<\/td><td>25%<\/td><td>22%<\/td><td>16%<\/td><td>26%<\/td><td>22%<\/td><td>22%<\/td><td>18%<\/td><td>23%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>About the same<\/td><td><strong>57%<\/strong><\/td><td>57%<\/td><td>58%<\/td><td>56%<\/td><td>60%<\/td><td>54%<\/td><td>53%<\/td><td>64%<\/td><td>52%<\/td><td>61%<\/td><td>54%<\/td><td>53%<\/td><td>57%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(VOL) Don\u2019t know<\/td><td><strong>1%<\/strong><\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>2%<\/td><td>0%<\/td><td>2%<\/td><td>0%<\/td><td>2%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>The <em>Monmouth University Poll<\/em> was sponsored and conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute from June 11 to 14, 2015 with a national random sample of 1,002 adults age 18 and older.&nbsp; This includes 700 contacted by a live interviewer on a landline telephone and 302 contacted by a live interviewer on a cell phone, in English.&nbsp; Monmouth is responsible for all aspects of the survey design, data weighting and analysis. Final sample is weighted for region, age, education, gender and race based on US Census information.&nbsp; Data collection support provided by Braun Research (field) and SSI (RDD sample).&nbsp; The results in this poll release are based on a subsample of 829 registered voters.&nbsp; For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling has a maximum margin of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points (unadjusted for sample design).&nbsp; Sampling error can be larger for sub-groups (see table below).&nbsp; In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"4\"> <p style=\"text-align: center\"><em>POLL DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)\u00a0 FULL SAMPLE &#8211; ALL ADULTS<\/em><\/p> <\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>24% Rep<\/em><\/td><td><em>49% Male<\/em><\/td><td><em>31% 18-34<\/em><\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\"><em>67% White<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>44% Ind<\/em><\/td><td><em>51% Female<\/em><\/td><td><em>37% 35-54<\/em><\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\"><em>12% Black<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>32% Dem<\/em><\/td><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><td><em>32% 55+<\/em><\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\"><em>15% Hispanic<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\"><em>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 7% Asian\/Other<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-mu-table advgb-table-frontend\"><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"4\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><em>POLL DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)&nbsp; <\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><em>REGISTERED VOTERS ONLY<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>26% Rep<\/em><\/td><td><em>46% Male<\/em><\/td><td><em>23% 18-34<\/em><\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\"><em>70% White<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>42% Ind<\/em><\/td><td><em>54% Female<\/em><\/td><td><em>39% 35-54<\/em><\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\"><em>12% Black<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>32% Dem<\/em><\/td><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><td><em>38% 55+<\/em><\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\"><em>12% Hispanic<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><td><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/td><td>\n<p style=\"text-align: right\"><em>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 6% Asian\/Other<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Click on pdf file link below for full methodology and results by key demographic groups.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Candidate ratings: Rubio well-positioned, huge negatives for Trump<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":40802251239,"template":"","geography":[18],"class_list":["post-40802207512","poll","type-poll","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","geography-national"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll\/40802207512","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/poll"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll\/40802207512\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40802240108,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/poll\/40802207512\/revisions\/40802240108"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/40802251239"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40802207512"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"geography","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monmouth.edu\/polling-institute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/geography?post=40802207512"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}