S1. Sample file: Voted in 2016 presidential primary
S2. Sample file: Voted in 2018 state primary
S3. Sample file: Voted in 2012 Nov general election
S4. Sample file: Voted in 2016 Nov general election
S5. Sample file: Voted in 2018 Nov general election
S6. Sample file: Party registration
S7. Sample file: County
S8. Sample file: Cong District
S9. Sample file: Gender
S10. Sample file: Age
S11. Sample file: Race
SURVEY TYPE
X1. Are you registered to vote at your current North Carolina address, registered at a different address, or havent you had a chance to register?
X1A. Do you plan to register so you can vote in the November election, or do you not plan to do this?
X2. How likely is it that you will vote in the November election - have you already voted, are you certain to vote, likely to vote, are you not sure, or are you unlikely to vote?
1. If the election for President was today, would you vote for Donald Trump the Republican, Joe Biden the Democrat, Jo Jorgensen the Libertarian, Howie Hawkins of the Green Party, or Don Blankenship of the Constitution Party?
1A. Are you certain about your vote choice, or might you change your mind before election day?
1B. If you had to vote for one of the following candidates at this moment, who do you lean toward - Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
2. What is the likelihood that you might vote for Donald Trump in November - very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not at all likely?
3. What is the likelihood that you might vote for Joe Biden in November - very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not at all likely?
4. If the election for U.S. Senate was today, would you vote for Thom Tillis the Republican, Cal Cunningham the Democrat, Shannon Bray the Libertarian, or Kevin Hayes of the Constitution Party?
4A. Are you certain about your vote choice, or might you change your mind before election day?
4B. If you had to vote for one of the following candidates at this moment, who do you lean toward - Thom Tillis or Cal Cunningham?
5. If the election for Governor was today, would you vote for Dan Forest the Republican, Roy Cooper the Democrat, Steven DiFiore the Libertarian, or Al Pisano of the Constitution Party?
5A. Are you certain about your vote choice, or might you change your mind before election day?
5B. If you had to vote for one of the following candidates at this moment, who do you lean toward - Dan Forest or Roy Cooper?
6. Has Governor Roy Cooper done a good job or bad job handling the coronavirus outbreak? [Is that very or somewhat good\bad?]
7. Do you feel optimistic or pessimistic about the 2020 presidential election? [Is that very or somewhat (optimistic\pessimistic)?]
8. How motivated are you to vote in the November election for president - very motivated, somewhat motivated, or not that motivated?
9. Compared to past elections, are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as past elections?
10. How much does Donald Trump understand the day to day concerns of people like you - a great deal, some, not much, or not at all?
11. How much does Joe Biden understand the day to day concerns of people like you - a great deal, some, not much, or not at all?
12A. Please tell me if... personally worries you a lot, a little, or not at all: Knowing you will have access to medical care if you need it?
12B. Please tell me if... personally worries you a lot, a little, or not at all: Knowing you will have a stable income over the next year?
12C. Please tell me if... personally worries you a lot, a little, or not at all: The possible breakdown of law and order?
12D. Please tell me if... personally worries you a lot, a little, or not at all: The coronavirus pandemic?
13. Who do you trust more to keep health care affordable and accessible - Donald Trump or Joe Biden, or both equally?
14. Who do you trust more on creating jobs and strengthening the economy - Donald Trump or Joe Biden, or both equally?
15. Who do you trust more on maintaining law and order - Donald Trump or Joe Biden, or both equally?
16. Who do you trust more on handling the coronavirus pandemic - Donald Trump or Joe Biden, or both equally?
17. Is your general impression of Thom Tillis favorable or unfavorable, or dont you really have an opinion of him?
18. Is your general impression of Cal Cunningham favorable or unfavorable, or dont you really have an opinion of him?
19. Have you heard that Thom Tillis tested positive for Covid after attending a White House event, or werent you aware of that?
20. Do you think prior to that, Tillis had been taking the coronavirus pandemic seriously enough or not seriously enough?
21. Have you heard that Cal Cunningham exchanged romantic texts with a woman who is not his wife, or werent you aware of that?
22. Would you describe this situation as something that disqualifies Cunningham from holding office, something that calls his character into question but does not disqualify him from office, or something that should be an issue only for him and his family?
23. How [will\did] you vote this year - in person on Election Day, in person at an early voting location, or by mail ballot?
24. Overall, how confident are you that the November election will be conducted fairly and accurately - very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
D1. In politics today, do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, independent, or something else?
D1A. Do you lean more toward the Republican Party or more toward the Democratic Party?
D1B. Do you consider yourself a strong Republican\Democrat or not so strong?
D2. In general, would you describe your political views as liberal, moderate, or conservative? [IF LIB_CON] Is that very or somewhat liberal_conservative?
D3. What was the last grade in school you completed?
D4. What was your age on your last birthday? ENTER NUMBER
D4A. Is it from ... [READ LIST]
D5. Are you of Latino or Hispanic origin?
D6. Are you white, black or of Asian origin?
D7. So that we can group all answers, is your total annual family income before taxes: Under $25,000; from $25,000 to just under $50,000; from $50,000 to just under $100,000; or $100,000 or more? Your best estimate is fine. [IF REFUSE, PROBE ONCE] We under
D8. [RECORD RESPONDENT GENDER from observation:]
1. If the election for President was today, would you vote for Donald Trump the Republican, Joe Biden the Democrat, Jo Jorgensen the Libertarian, Howie Hawkins of the Green Party, or Don Blankenship of the Constitution Party? [with leaners] [Names rotated]
4. If the election for U.S. Senate was today, would you vote for Thom Tillis the Republican, Cal Cunningham the Democrat, Shannon Bray the Libertarian, or Kevin Hayes of the Constitution Party? [with leaners] [Names were rotated]
5. If the election for Governor was today, would you vote for Dan Forest the Republican, Roy Cooper the Democrat, Steven DiFiore the Libertarian, or Al Pisano of the Constitution Party? [with leaners] [Names were rotated]
VOTE LIKELIHOOD
PARTY ID
PARTY ID W/LEANERS
PARTY ID W/LEANERS and STRENGTH
PARTY ID-LEANERS ADDED
POLITICAL IDEOLOGY
EDUCATION
COLLEGE DEGREE
AGE 4-WAY
AGE 3-WAY
AGE 2-WAY
RACE 5-WAY
RACE
WHITE COLLEGE DEGREE
RACE EDUCATION
WHITE COLLEGE DEGREE BY GENDER
INCOME
GENDER
VOTE HISTORY
2016 R Prez Margin
2016 MARGIN by COUNTY
REGION
LIST PARTY REG
LIST GENDER
LIST AGE
LIST RACE
* CPS and SoS DEMOS WEIGHT *
* FINAL WEIGHT for FULL RV sample *
2020 Primary Election
2020 Presidential Primary Election
2020 Genderal Election
2020 Other Election
2020 2nd Primary Election
2020 GEN ELECTION METHOD