S1. Sample file: Voted in 2016 presidential primary
1 = Yes
2 = No
3 = na

S6. Sample file: Party registration
1 = Republican
2 = Democrat
3 = Other, None

S9. Sample file: Gender
1 = Male
2 = Female
3 = Unknown

S10. Sample file: Age
1 = 18-34
2 = 35-49
3 = 50-64
4 = 65+
5 = Unknown

S11. Sample file: Race
1 = White
2 = Black
3 = Asian
4 = Hispanic
5 = Unknown

SURVEY TYPE
1 = LANDLINE
2 = CELL PHONE

[ENGLISH] Would you like to continue the survey in English, or would you prefer to continue in Spanish? [SPANISH] ¿Desea continuar con esta encuesta en inglés o en español?
1 = English_Inglés
2 = Spanish_Español

X1. Are you registered to vote at your current Arizona address, registered at a different address, or havent you had a chance to register?
1 = Yes, at this address
2 = Registered at a different address
3 = No, not registered to vote
4 = (VOL) Do not live in Arizona
9 = (VOL) Dont know_Refused

X1A. Do you plan to register so you can vote in the November election, or do you not plan to do this?
1 = Yes
2 = No
9 = (VOL) Dont know_Refused

X2. How likely is it that you will vote in the November election - have you already voted, are you certain to vote, likely to vote, are you not sure, or are you unlikely to vote?
0 = Already voted
1 = Certain to vote
2 = Likely to vote
3 = Not sure
4 = Unlikely to vote
5 = (VOL) Definitely wont vote
9 = (VOL) Refused

1. If the election for President was today, would you vote for Donald Trump the Republican, Joe Biden the Democrat, or Jo Jorgensen the Libertarian?
1 = Donald Trump
2 = Joe Biden
3 = Jo Jorgensen
6 = [VOL] Other
7 = [VOL] No one
8 = [VOL] Undecided
9 = NA

1A. Are you certain about your vote choice, or might you change your mind before election day?
1 = Certain
2 = Might change mind
9 = [VOL] Dont know
10 = Undecided

1B. If you had to vote for one of the following candidates at this moment, who do you lean toward - Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
1 = Donald Trump
2 = Joe Biden
3 = (VOL) Neither_Other
9 = [VOL] Dont know

2. What is the likelihood that you might vote for Donald Trump in November - very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not at all likely?
0 = [Q1] Certain to support
1 = Very likely
2 = Somewhat likely
3 = Not too likely
4 = Not at all likely
9 = [VOL] Dont know

4. If the election for U.S. Senate was today, would you vote for Martha McSally the Republican or Mark Kelly the Democrat?
1 = Martha McSally
2 = Mark Kelly
6 = [VOL] Other
7 = [VOL] No one
8 = [VOL] Undecided
9 = NA

4B. If you had to vote for one of the following candidates at this moment, who do you lean toward - Martha McSally or Mark Kelly?
1 = Martha McSally
2 = Mark Kelly
3 = (VOL) Neither_Other
9 = [VOL] Dont know

5. There is a measure on the ballot that would legalize the recreational use of marijuana for adults 21 years of age or older and allow residents to grow up to six marijuana plants for personal use. Marijuana use would be banned in public and a 16% tax...
1 = For
2 = Against
3 = (VOL) Will_did not vote on this
9 = [VOL] Dont know

7. Do you feel optimistic or pessimistic about the 2020 presidential election? [Is that very or somewhat (optimistic\pessimistic)?]
1 = Very optimistic
2 = Somewhat optimistic
3 = Somewhat pessimistic
4 = Very pessimistic
5 = [VOL] Neither
9 = [VOL] Dont know

8. How motivated are you to vote in the November election for president - very motivated, somewhat motivated, or not that motivated?
1 = Very motivated
2 = Somewhat motivated
3 = Not that motivated
9 = [VOL] Dont know

9. Compared to past elections, are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as past elections?
1 = More enthusiastic
2 = Less enthusiastic
3 = About the same
9 = [VOL] Dont know

10. How much does Donald Trump understand the day to day concerns of people like you - a great deal, some, not much, or not at all?
1 = Great deal
2 = Some
3 = Not much
4 = Not at all
9 = [VOL] Dont know

12A. Please tell me if... personally worries you a lot, a little, or not at all: Knowing you will have access to medical care if you need it?
1 = A lot
2 = A little
3 = Not at all
9 = [VOL] Dont know

13. Who do you trust more to keep health care affordable and accessible - Donald Trump or Joe Biden, or both equally?
1 = Donald Trump
2 = Joe Biden
3 = Both equally
4 = (VOL) Neither
9 = [VOL] Dont know

17. Is your general impression of Martha McSally favorable or unfavorable, or dont you really have an opinion of her?
1 = Favorable
2 = Unfavorable
3 = No opinion
9 = (VOL) Refused

19. Do you think Martha McSally has given Donald Trump the right amount of support, or has she been too supportive of the president at times?
1 = Right amount
2 = Too supportive
9 = [VOL] Dont know

20. Do you think Mark Kelly will be more of an independent voice if he is elected to the Senate, or will he be more beholden to the left wing of the Democratic Party?
1 = Independent voice
2 = Beholden to the left
9 = [VOL] Dont know

21. How [will\did] you vote this year - in person on Election Day, in person at an early voting location, or by mail ballot?
1 = In person on Election Day
2 = In person at an early voting location
3 = By mail ballot
4 = (VOL) Other, specify:
5 = (VOL) Wont vote at all
9 = [VOL] Dont know

22. Overall, how confident are you that the November election will be conducted fairly and accurately - very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
1 = Very confident
2 = Somewhat confident
3 = Not too confident
4 = Not at all confident
9 = [VOL] Dont know

D1. In politics today, do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, independent, or something else?
1 = Republican
2 = Democrat
3 = Independent
4 = Something else
9 = [VOL] Dont know_Refused

D1A. Do you lean more toward the Republican Party or more toward the Democratic Party?
1 = Republican
2 = Democrat
3 = Neither
9 = (VOL) Dont know_Refused

D1B. Do you consider yourself a strong Republican\Democrat or not so strong?
1 = Strong
2 = Not so strong
9 = (VOL) Dont know_Refused

D2. In general, would you describe your political views as liberal, moderate, or conservative? [IF LIB_CON] Is that very or somewhat liberal_conservative?
1 = Very liberal
2 = Somewhat liberal
3 = Moderate
4 = Somewhat conservative
5 = Very conservative
9 = [VOL] Dont know_Refused

D3. What was the last grade in school you completed?
1 = 8th grade or less
2 = High School incomplete [Grades 9, 10 and 11]
3 = High School Complete [Grade 12]
4 = Vocational_Technical School
5 = Some College
6 = Junior College Graduate [2 year, Associate Degree]
7 = 4 year College Graduate [Bachelors Degree]
8 = Graduate School [Masters, Law_Medical School, etc.]
9 = [VOL] Dont know _ Refused

D4A. Is it from ... [READ LIST]
1 = 18 to 34,
2 = 35 to 49
3 = 50 to 64, or
4 = 65 or over?
9 = [VOL] Dont know_Refused

D5. Are you of Latino or Hispanic origin?
1 = Yes
2 = No
9 = [VOL] Dont know _ Refused

D6. Are you white, black or of Asian origin?
1 = White
2 = Black
3 = Asian
4 = [VOL] Other, specify :
5 = [VOL] Hispanic, but wont specify race
9 = [VOL] Dont know_Refused

D7. So that we can group all answers, is your total annual family income before taxes: Under $25,000; from $25,000 to just under $50,000; from $50,000 to just under $100,000; or $100,000 or more? Your best estimate is fine. [IF REFUSE, PROBE ONCE] We under
1 = Under $25,000
2 = $25,000 to just under $50,000
3 = $50,000 to just under $100,000
4 = $100,000 or more
8 = [VOL] Dont know
9 = [VOL] Refused

D8. [RECORD RESPONDENT GENDER from observation]
1 = Male
2 = Female

1. If the election for President was today, would you vote for Donald Trump the Republican, Joe Biden the Democrat, or Jo Jorgensen the Libertarian? [with leaners] [Names rotated]
1 = Donald Trump
2 = Joe Biden
3 = Jo Jorgensen
6 = [VOL] Other
7 = [VOL] No one
8 = [VOL] Undecided

4. If the election for U.S. Senate was today, would you vote for Martha McSally the Republican or Mark Kelly the Democrat? [with leaners] [Names were rotated]
1 = Martha McSally
2 = Mark Kelly
6 = [VOL] Other
7 = [VOL] No one
8 = [VOL] Undecided

VOTE LIKELIHOOD
1 = Certain
2 = Likely
3 = Unsure, unlikely

1 = Rep
2 = Ind
3 = Dem

PARTY ID W/LEANERS
1 = Solid Rep
2 = Lean Rep
3 = True Ind
4 = Lean Dem
5 = Solid Dem

PARTY ID W/LEANERS and STRENGTH
1 = Strong Rep
2 = Not strong Rep
3 = Ind lean Rep
4 = True Ind
5 = Ind lean Dem
6 = Not strong Dem
7 = Strong Dem

PARTY ID-LEANERS ADDED
1 = Rep+leaners
2 = True Ind
3 = Dem+leaners

POLITICAL IDEOLOGY
1 = Lib
2 = Mod
3 = Con

1 = HS or less
2 = Some College
3 = College grad
4 = Adv degree

COLLEGE DEGREE
1 = No
2 = Yes

AGE 4-WAY
1 = 18-34
2 = 35-49
3 = 50-64
4 = 65+

AGE 3-WAY
1 = 18-49
2 = 50-64
3 = 65+

AGE 2-WAY
1 = 18-49
2 = 50+

AGE 3-WAY
1 = 18-44
2 = 45-64
3 = 65+

RACE 5-WAY
1 = White
2 = Black
3 = Hispanic
4 = Asian
5 = Other

RACE
1 = White non-Hisp
2 = Hsp-Blk-Asn-Oth

RACE
1 = White
2 = Hispanic
3 = Other

WHITE COLLEGE DEGREE
1 = White no degree
2 = White college
3 = Non-white

RACE EDUCATION
1 = White no degree
2 = White college

WHITE COLLEGE DEGREE BY GENDER
1 = White man no degree
2 = White man college
3 = Non-white man
4 = White woman no degree
5 = White woman college
6 = Non-white woman

1 = <$50K
2 = $50-100K
3 = $100K+

1 = <$50K
2 = $50K+

VOTE HISTORY
1 = High
2 = Moderate
3 = Low age35+
4 = Low age<35

2016 MARGIN by COUNTY
1 = Trump >10pts
2 = Swing <10pts
3 = Clinton >10pts

REGION
1 = Maricopa
2 = Trump counties
3 = Clinton counties

LIST PARTY REG
1 = Rep
2 = Dem
3 = Other

LIST RACE
1 = White
2 = Hispanic
3 = Black
4 = Other, unknown

2020 Primary Election
A = Absentee
D = Democrat
E = Early
M = Democrat Early
P = Republican Early
R = Republican
X = Republican Absentee
Y = Voted
Z = Democrat Absentee

1 = COMPLETE
2 = DNC\TERMINATE - ALREADY VOTED BUT DK FOR WHOM [Q1]\TERMINATE - PLAN TO REGISTER - NO [QX1A]
3 = NO SUCH PERSON\TERMINATE - DOES NOT LIVE IN AZ [QX1]
4 = DISCONNECTED\FAX\OFFICE
5 = OTHER

2020 GEN ELECTION METHOD
1 = E Day
2 = Early
3 = Absentee
4 = None

1 = Yes
2 = No